**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on September 12, 2026, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range model guidance.** Southerly flow at 5–9 mph under mostly cloudy skies has supported daytime warming consistent with regional September climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 25–26°C. Official monitoring networks and ensemble forecasts show peak readings aligning at this threshold during afternoon hours, with minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting variability. This market-implied outcome incorporates real-time station data and forecast adjustments that have narrowed the range. A late-day model shift, revised station measurement, or unexpected cloud cover could still alter the final recorded maximum, though such changes appear unlikely given current trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$27,383 Vol.
$27,383 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$27,383 Vol.
$27,383 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
$54 Vol.
No
22°C
$366 Vol.
No
23°C
$558 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,658 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,803 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,004 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,524 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$2,920 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,015 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,692 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$788 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on September 12, 2026, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range model guidance.** Southerly flow at 5–9 mph under mostly cloudy skies has supported daytime warming consistent with regional September climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 25–26°C. Official monitoring networks and ensemble forecasts show peak readings aligning at this threshold during afternoon hours, with minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting variability. This market-implied outcome incorporates real-time station data and forecast adjustments that have narrowed the range. A late-day model shift, revised station measurement, or unexpected cloud cover could still alter the final recorded maximum, though such changes appear unlikely given current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$27,383End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on September 12, 2026, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range model guidance.** Southerly flow at 5–9 mph under mostly cloudy skies has supported daytime warming consistent with regional September climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 25–26°C. Official monitoring networks and ensemble forecasts show peak readings aligning at this threshold during afternoon hours, with minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting variability. This market-implied outcome incorporates real-time station data and forecast adjustments that have narrowed the range. A late-day model shift, revised station measurement, or unexpected cloud cover could still alter the final recorded maximum, though such changes appear unlikely given current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,383End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Qingdao on September 12, 2026, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range model guidance.** Southerly flow at 5–9 mph under mostly cloudy skies has supported daytime warming consistent with regional September climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 25–26°C. Official monitoring networks and ensemble forecasts show peak readings aligning at this threshold during afternoon hours, with minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting variability. This market-implied outcome incorporates real-time station data and forecast adjustments that have narrowed the range. A late-day model shift, revised station measurement, or unexpected cloud cover could still alter the final recorded maximum, though such changes appear unlikely given current trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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