President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a 161-seat majority in South Korea’s 300-member National Assembly, while the main opposition People Power Party controls 110 seats. Impeachment requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes, a threshold that cannot be reached without substantial defections from the ruling party that have not occurred. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment advanced to committee review after surpassing 100,000 signatures but stalled due to the ruling bloc’s numbers. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 38 percent amid concerns over housing policy, personnel decisions, and the economy, yet these pressures have produced no legislative coalition or scheduled votes capable of advancing a motion before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Suspended pre-inauguration legal cases and the short remaining timeline further limit near-term removal prospects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
6% chance
$21,770 Vol.
$21,770 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% chance
$21,770 Vol.
$21,770 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a 161-seat majority in South Korea’s 300-member National Assembly, while the main opposition People Power Party controls 110 seats. Impeachment requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes, a threshold that cannot be reached without substantial defections from the ruling party that have not occurred. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment advanced to committee review after surpassing 100,000 signatures but stalled due to the ruling bloc’s numbers. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 38 percent amid concerns over housing policy, personnel decisions, and the economy, yet these pressures have produced no legislative coalition or scheduled votes capable of advancing a motion before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Suspended pre-inauguration legal cases and the short remaining timeline further limit near-term removal prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$21,770End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a 161-seat majority in South Korea’s 300-member National Assembly, while the main opposition People Power Party controls 110 seats. Impeachment requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes, a threshold that cannot be reached without substantial defections from the ruling party that have not occurred. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment advanced to committee review after surpassing 100,000 signatures but stalled due to the ruling bloc’s numbers. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 38 percent amid concerns over housing policy, personnel decisions, and the economy, yet these pressures have produced no legislative coalition or scheduled votes capable of advancing a motion before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Suspended pre-inauguration legal cases and the short remaining timeline further limit near-term removal prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$21,770End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a 161-seat majority in South Korea’s 300-member National Assembly, while the main opposition People Power Party controls 110 seats. Impeachment requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes, a threshold that cannot be reached without substantial defections from the ruling party that have not occurred. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment advanced to committee review after surpassing 100,000 signatures but stalled due to the ruling bloc’s numbers. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 38 percent amid concerns over housing policy, personnel decisions, and the economy, yet these pressures have produced no legislative coalition or scheduled votes capable of advancing a motion before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Suspended pre-inauguration legal cases and the short remaining timeline further limit near-term removal prospects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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