Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout
Politics·Turnout

Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

icon for Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout
Politics·Turnout

Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

1.3M-1.4M 40%

1.2M-1.3M 30%

1.4M-1.5M 11%

1.1M-1.2M 7%

Polymarket
NEW

1.3M-1.4M 40%

1.2M-1.3M 30%

1.4M-1.5M 11%

1.1M-1.2M 7%

Polymarket
NEW

<1M

$788 Vol.

1%

1M-1.1M

$1,080 Vol.

2%

1.1M-1.2M

$209 Vol.

7%

1.2M-1.3M

$833 Vol.

38%

1.3M-1.4M

$2,114 Vol.

40%

1.4M-1.5M

$247 Vol.

11%

1.5M-1.6M

$149 Vol.

4%

1.6M+

$139 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Incumbent Ned Lamont holds a consistent double-digit lead over Republican challenger Ryan Fazio in recent polls, including a September Sacred Heart University survey showing 48-34% among registered voters, reinforcing forecasts of a low-competition midterm race.** This positioning, alongside solid Democratic ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report, tends to suppress overall engagement compared with closer contests. Historical benchmarks show 2022 turnout at roughly 1.27 million ballots amid a wider Lamont victory, while the tighter 2018 race exceeded 1.4 million; current trader consensus clusters around 1.2-1.4 million votes, reflecting expectations of subdued mobilization. Recent campaign activity has centered on energy affordability and property taxes, yet neither side has generated widespread voter enthusiasm likely to drive higher participation. Developments such as intensified advertising, primary turnout patterns, or late shifts in perceived competitiveness could separate the leading bins by altering base mobilization ahead of November 3.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,558
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Incumbent Ned Lamont holds a consistent double-digit lead over Republican challenger Ryan Fazio in recent polls, including a September Sacred Heart University survey showing 48-34% among registered voters, reinforcing forecasts of a low-competition midterm race.** This positioning, alongside solid Democratic ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report, tends to suppress overall engagement compared with closer contests. Historical benchmarks show 2022 turnout at roughly 1.27 million ballots amid a wider Lamont victory, while the tighter 2018 race exceeded 1.4 million; current trader consensus clusters around 1.2-1.4 million votes, reflecting expectations of subdued mobilization. Recent campaign activity has centered on energy affordability and property taxes, yet neither side has generated widespread voter enthusiasm likely to drive higher participation. Developments such as intensified advertising, primary turnout patterns, or late shifts in perceived competitiveness could separate the leading bins by altering base mobilization ahead of November 3.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,558
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?

50%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?

38%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,500,000 and 14,000,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,500,000 and 14,000,000?

40%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1.3M-1.4M" at 40%, followed by "1.2M-1.3M" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout" is "1.3M-1.4M" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1.2M-1.3M" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.