**Trader consensus on the August 2026 U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) year-over-year reading, scheduled for release today at 8:30 a.m. ET, heavily favors an outcome of 5.1% or higher at 83% implied probability.** This positioning reflects expectations of a rebound from July’s 4.7% print, driven by a 0.4% month-over-month consensus forecast that would lift the annual rate toward 5.1–5.3%. Key factors include the reversal of July’s sharp energy declines—gasoline prices fell 5.7% that month—as oil prices have rebounded, alongside persistent services price pressures and favorable base effects from prior-year energy spikes. Recent ISM manufacturing data showing elevated input costs further supports the higher reading, while the July cooldown in goods prices now appears transitory. With the release imminent, market-implied odds price in limited downside risk to the 4.9% or lower buckets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado5,1%+ 87%
4,9% 8.5%
5,0% 8.5%
4,6% 4.8%
$21,038 Vol.
$21,038 Vol.
≤4.2%
1%
4,3%
1%
4,4%
1%
4,5%
8%
4,6%
5%
4,7%
4%
4,8%
4%
4,9%
8%
5,0%
8%
5,1%+
86%
5,1%+ 87%
4,9% 8.5%
5,0% 8.5%
4,6% 4.8%
$21,038 Vol.
$21,038 Vol.
≤4.2%
1%
4,3%
1%
4,4%
1%
4,5%
8%
4,6%
5%
4,7%
4%
4,8%
4%
4,9%
8%
5,0%
8%
5,1%+
86%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the August 2026 U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) year-over-year reading, scheduled for release today at 8:30 a.m. ET, heavily favors an outcome of 5.1% or higher at 83% implied probability.** This positioning reflects expectations of a rebound from July’s 4.7% print, driven by a 0.4% month-over-month consensus forecast that would lift the annual rate toward 5.1–5.3%. Key factors include the reversal of July’s sharp energy declines—gasoline prices fell 5.7% that month—as oil prices have rebounded, alongside persistent services price pressures and favorable base effects from prior-year energy spikes. Recent ISM manufacturing data showing elevated input costs further supports the higher reading, while the July cooldown in goods prices now appears transitory. With the release imminent, market-implied odds price in limited downside risk to the 4.9% or lower buckets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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