Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to a 3.4% or 3.3% year-over-year August CPI reading, reflecting the soft July print of 3.4% and forecasts for a modest 0.4% monthly gain that would keep the annual rate near recent levels. Energy price rebounds, including gasoline, alongside persistent shelter and services pressures, offset cooling in core goods and tariff pass-through effects that have moderated. AI-driven demand in electronics and vehicles adds upward bias to select components, while a softening labor market tempers broader wage-price risks. The September 11 BLS release, immediately preceding the FOMC meeting, remains the key catalyst that could shift rate path expectations priced into Treasury yields and fed funds futures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3,4% 49%
3.3% 32%
3,5% 15%
3,2% 6.1%
$94,276 Vol.
$94,276 Vol.
10 sep 2026
≤2,9%
<1%
3,0%
1%
3,1%
1%
3,2%
6%
3.3%
32%
3,4%
49%
3,5%
15%
3,6%
2%
3,7%
<1%
3,8%
1%
3,9%
<1%
≥4.0%
<1%
3,4% 49%
3.3% 32%
3,5% 15%
3,2% 6.1%
$94,276 Vol.
$94,276 Vol.
10 sep 2026
≤2,9%
$2,555 Vol.
<1%
3,0%
$2,523 Vol.
1%
3,1%
$2,490 Vol.
1%
3,2%
$3,677 Vol.
6%
3.3%
$18,991 Vol.
32%
3,4%
$34,424 Vol.
49%
3,5%
$14,063 Vol.
15%
3,6%
$3,677 Vol.
2%
3,7%
$2,496 Vol.
<1%
3,8%
$2,558 Vol.
1%
3,9%
$2,792 Vol.
<1%
≥4.0%
$4,032 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to a 3.4% or 3.3% year-over-year August CPI reading, reflecting the soft July print of 3.4% and forecasts for a modest 0.4% monthly gain that would keep the annual rate near recent levels. Energy price rebounds, including gasoline, alongside persistent shelter and services pressures, offset cooling in core goods and tariff pass-through effects that have moderated. AI-driven demand in electronics and vehicles adds upward bias to select components, while a softening labor market tempers broader wage-price risks. The September 11 BLS release, immediately preceding the FOMC meeting, remains the key catalyst that could shift rate path expectations priced into Treasury yields and fed funds futures.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volumen
$94,276Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to a 3.4% or 3.3% year-over-year August CPI reading, reflecting the soft July print of 3.4% and forecasts for a modest 0.4% monthly gain that would keep the annual rate near recent levels. Energy price rebounds, including gasoline, alongside persistent shelter and services pressures, offset cooling in core goods and tariff pass-through effects that have moderated. AI-driven demand in electronics and vehicles adds upward bias to select components, while a softening labor market tempers broader wage-price risks. The September 11 BLS release, immediately preceding the FOMC meeting, remains the key catalyst that could shift rate path expectations priced into Treasury yields and fed funds futures.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$94,276Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probabilities to a 3.4% or 3.3% year-over-year August CPI reading, reflecting the soft July print of 3.4% and forecasts for a modest 0.4% monthly gain that would keep the annual rate near recent levels. Energy price rebounds, including gasoline, alongside persistent shelter and services pressures, offset cooling in core goods and tariff pass-through effects that have moderated. AI-driven demand in electronics and vehicles adds upward bias to select components, while a softening labor market tempers broader wage-price risks. The September 11 BLS release, immediately preceding the FOMC meeting, remains the key catalyst that could shift rate path expectations priced into Treasury yields and fed funds futures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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