Canada's Statistics Canada flash estimate for July 2026 monthly GDP showed no change from June, aligning closely with the 60.5% market-implied probability for the 0.0-0.1% outcome. Gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offset declines in retail trade and manufacturing, following a revised 0.3% June expansion. This preliminary reading, released August 28 with the final figure due September 29, has shaped trader consensus around subdued momentum amid mixed trade data and broader economic crosscurrents. The 22% odds on a contraction reflect downside risks from softening exports, while higher-growth buckets remain thinly priced given the data trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.0 a 0.1% 61%
<0,0% 22%
0.2 a 0.3% 15%
0,6 a 0,7% 5.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 sep 2026
<0,0%
22%
0.0 a 0.1%
61%
0.2 a 0.3%
15%
0,4 a 0,5%
2%
0,6 a 0,7%
5%
0,8%+
<1%
0.0 a 0.1% 61%
<0,0% 22%
0.2 a 0.3% 15%
0,6 a 0,7% 5.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 sep 2026
<0,0%
$1,149 Vol.
22%
0.0 a 0.1%
$575 Vol.
61%
0.2 a 0.3%
$57 Vol.
15%
0,4 a 0,5%
$1,094 Vol.
2%
0,6 a 0,7%
$95 Vol.
5%
0,8%+
$1,047 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada's Statistics Canada flash estimate for July 2026 monthly GDP showed no change from June, aligning closely with the 60.5% market-implied probability for the 0.0-0.1% outcome. Gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offset declines in retail trade and manufacturing, following a revised 0.3% June expansion. This preliminary reading, released August 28 with the final figure due September 29, has shaped trader consensus around subdued momentum amid mixed trade data and broader economic crosscurrents. The 22% odds on a contraction reflect downside risks from softening exports, while higher-growth buckets remain thinly priced given the data trajectory.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$4,019Fecha de finalización
29 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada's Statistics Canada flash estimate for July 2026 monthly GDP showed no change from June, aligning closely with the 60.5% market-implied probability for the 0.0-0.1% outcome. Gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offset declines in retail trade and manufacturing, following a revised 0.3% June expansion. This preliminary reading, released August 28 with the final figure due September 29, has shaped trader consensus around subdued momentum amid mixed trade data and broader economic crosscurrents. The 22% odds on a contraction reflect downside risks from softening exports, while higher-growth buckets remain thinly priced given the data trajectory.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volumen
$4,019Fecha de finalización
29 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada's Statistics Canada flash estimate for July 2026 monthly GDP showed no change from June, aligning closely with the 60.5% market-implied probability for the 0.0-0.1% outcome. Gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offset declines in retail trade and manufacturing, following a revised 0.3% June expansion. This preliminary reading, released August 28 with the final figure due September 29, has shaped trader consensus around subdued momentum amid mixed trade data and broader economic crosscurrents. The 22% odds on a contraction reflect downside risks from softening exports, while higher-growth buckets remain thinly priced given the data trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes