Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina have decelerated toward 1.9-2.1 percent, supporting analyst consensus for year-end 2026 CPI around 29-30.5 percent amid sustained fiscal surplus, BCRA policy restraint, and exchange-rate stability. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 25-29.9 percent and 30-34.9 percent brackets because the trajectory hinges on whether underlying pressures from regulated prices and global energy costs continue to fade or reaccelerate. Recent REM surveys and IMF projections highlight this narrow band, with limited dispersion among forecasters pointing to gradual rather than rapid further disinflation through the final months of the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado30.0-34.9% 52.2%
25-29,9% 46%
<20% 1.9%
35–39.9% 1.5%
$45,889 Vol.
$45,889 Vol.
9 ene 2027
<20%
2%
20-24,9%
1%
25-29,9%
46%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
2%
40-44,9%
1%
45%+
1%
30.0-34.9% 52.2%
25-29,9% 46%
<20% 1.9%
35–39.9% 1.5%
$45,889 Vol.
$45,889 Vol.
9 ene 2027
<20%
$4,653 Vol.
2%
20-24,9%
$3,231 Vol.
1%
25-29,9%
$13,669 Vol.
46%
30.0-34.9%
$13,795 Vol.
52%
35–39.9%
$3,531 Vol.
2%
40-44,9%
$3,564 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,445 Vol.
1%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina have decelerated toward 1.9-2.1 percent, supporting analyst consensus for year-end 2026 CPI around 29-30.5 percent amid sustained fiscal surplus, BCRA policy restraint, and exchange-rate stability. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 25-29.9 percent and 30-34.9 percent brackets because the trajectory hinges on whether underlying pressures from regulated prices and global energy costs continue to fade or reaccelerate. Recent REM surveys and IMF projections highlight this narrow band, with limited dispersion among forecasters pointing to gradual rather than rapid further disinflation through the final months of the year.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volumen
$45,889Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina have decelerated toward 1.9-2.1 percent, supporting analyst consensus for year-end 2026 CPI around 29-30.5 percent amid sustained fiscal surplus, BCRA policy restraint, and exchange-rate stability. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 25-29.9 percent and 30-34.9 percent brackets because the trajectory hinges on whether underlying pressures from regulated prices and global energy costs continue to fade or reaccelerate. Recent REM surveys and IMF projections highlight this narrow band, with limited dispersion among forecasters pointing to gradual rather than rapid further disinflation through the final months of the year.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$45,889Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina have decelerated toward 1.9-2.1 percent, supporting analyst consensus for year-end 2026 CPI around 29-30.5 percent amid sustained fiscal surplus, BCRA policy restraint, and exchange-rate stability. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 25-29.9 percent and 30-34.9 percent brackets because the trajectory hinges on whether underlying pressures from regulated prices and global energy costs continue to fade or reaccelerate. Recent REM surveys and IMF projections highlight this narrow band, with limited dispersion among forecasters pointing to gradual rather than rapid further disinflation through the final months of the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes