The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 47.8 for September 2026, well below the 51.0 consensus and August’s 51.7 final, has anchored trader expectations for the September 25 final release. Surging one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%—the highest since June—along with a 3.9% August rise in gasoline prices and renewed trade tensions have weighed on both the expectations and current conditions components. These factors, compounded by lingering effects from Middle East supply disruptions, explain the heavy 74% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range while leaving limited room for upside surprises absent a rapid de-escalation in energy costs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert46,0 bis 48,9 74%
43,0 bis 45,9 21%
49,0 bis 51,9 4.0%
Unter 43,0 4.0%
$10,806 Vol.
$10,806 Vol.
25. Sep. 2026
Unter 43,0
4%
43,0 bis 45,9
21%
46,0 bis 48,9
74%
49,0 bis 51,9
4%
52,0 bis 54,9
<1%
55,0 bis 57,9
3%
58,0+
<1%
46,0 bis 48,9 74%
43,0 bis 45,9 21%
49,0 bis 51,9 4.0%
Unter 43,0 4.0%
$10,806 Vol.
$10,806 Vol.
25. Sep. 2026
Unter 43,0
$755 Vol.
4%
43,0 bis 45,9
$1,521 Vol.
21%
46,0 bis 48,9
$5,784 Vol.
74%
49,0 bis 51,9
$595 Vol.
4%
52,0 bis 54,9
$470 Vol.
<1%
55,0 bis 57,9
$1,238 Vol.
3%
58,0+
$442 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 47.8 for September 2026, well below the 51.0 consensus and August’s 51.7 final, has anchored trader expectations for the September 25 final release. Surging one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%—the highest since June—along with a 3.9% August rise in gasoline prices and renewed trade tensions have weighed on both the expectations and current conditions components. These factors, compounded by lingering effects from Middle East supply disruptions, explain the heavy 74% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range while leaving limited room for upside surprises absent a rapid de-escalation in energy costs.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Volumen
$10,806Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 47.8 for September 2026, well below the 51.0 consensus and August’s 51.7 final, has anchored trader expectations for the September 25 final release. Surging one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%—the highest since June—along with a 3.9% August rise in gasoline prices and renewed trade tensions have weighed on both the expectations and current conditions components. These factors, compounded by lingering effects from Middle East supply disruptions, explain the heavy 74% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range while leaving limited room for upside surprises absent a rapid de-escalation in energy costs.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$10,806Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 47.8 for September 2026, well below the 51.0 consensus and August’s 51.7 final, has anchored trader expectations for the September 25 final release. Surging one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%—the highest since June—along with a 3.9% August rise in gasoline prices and renewed trade tensions have weighed on both the expectations and current conditions components. These factors, compounded by lingering effects from Middle East supply disruptions, explain the heavy 74% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range while leaving limited room for upside surprises absent a rapid de-escalation in energy costs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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