Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in the TX-27 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent since 2018, and comfortable primary victories in March 2026 that cleared the field. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting prior results such as Cloud's 66% share in 2024 and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. Tanya Lloyd, the Democratic nominee and a repeat challenger, faces structural headwinds including fundraising gaps and the absence of recent polling shifts or national tailwinds. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, a broader Democratic surge in turnout, or late independent momentum, though current conditions point to low odds of altering the outcome before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,650 交易量
$37,650 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克尔·克劳德（共和党）
91%
塔尼娅·劳埃德（民主党）
9%
$37,650 交易量
$37,650 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克尔·克劳德（共和党）
$25,021 交易量
91%
塔尼娅·劳埃德（民主党）
$12,628 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in the TX-27 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent since 2018, and comfortable primary victories in March 2026 that cleared the field. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting prior results such as Cloud's 66% share in 2024 and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. Tanya Lloyd, the Democratic nominee and a repeat challenger, faces structural headwinds including fundraising gaps and the absence of recent polling shifts or national tailwinds. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, a broader Democratic surge in turnout, or late independent momentum, though current conditions point to low odds of altering the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$37,650结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in the TX-27 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent since 2018, and comfortable primary victories in March 2026 that cleared the field. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting prior results such as Cloud's 66% share in 2024 and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. Tanya Lloyd, the Democratic nominee and a repeat challenger, faces structural headwinds including fundraising gaps and the absence of recent polling shifts or national tailwinds. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, a broader Democratic surge in turnout, or late independent momentum, though current conditions point to low odds of altering the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,650结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETMichael Cloud holds a commanding position in the TX-27 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent since 2018, and comfortable primary victories in March 2026 that cleared the field. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting prior results such as Cloud's 66% share in 2024 and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. Tanya Lloyd, the Democratic nominee and a repeat challenger, faces structural headwinds including fundraising gaps and the absence of recent polling shifts or national tailwinds. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, a broader Democratic surge in turnout, or late independent momentum, though current conditions point to low odds of altering the outcome before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题