**Recent polling in the Piauí Senate race for the two seats up in 2026 shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) frequently leading or tied, with Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) competing closely behind amid high undecided shares and strategic two-vote dynamics.** Júlio César benefits from lower rejection rates and alignment with the state government coalition, positioning him as the frontrunner for second place in trader assessments. Ciro Nogueira’s higher rejection has capped his momentum despite incumbency, while other registered candidates trail far behind in surveys from mid-2026 onward. The market’s tight pricing around leading contenders reflects ongoing uncertainty from late undecided voters, potential shifts in second-preference flows, and the absence of decisive late-campaign events that could reorder the pelotão.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于胡里奥·塞萨尔 40.0%
马塞洛·卡斯特罗 25.6%
西罗·诺盖拉 18%
蒂亚戈·朱克雷拉 4.6%
$44,865 交易量
$44,865 交易量
2026-10-04
胡里奥·塞萨尔
45%
马塞洛·卡斯特罗
26%
西罗·诺盖拉
18%
蒂亚戈·朱克雷拉
5%
玛丽亚·马达莱娜·努内斯
1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
托因霍·杜夫兰戈
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
迪奥尼西奥·卡瓦略
<1%
弗朗西纳尔多·莱昂
<1%
亚历山大·马里亚诺
<1%
传教士埃万德罗·克拉韦罗
<1%
安东尼奥·巴罗斯
<1%
安东尼奥·若泽·利拉
<1%
丹尼尔·罗查
<1%
伊尔芒·埃万德罗·马尔克斯
<1%
乔治·洛佩斯
<1%
少校保罗·罗伯托
<1%
牧师塞纳
<1%
佩德罗·劳伦蒂诺
<1%
胡里奥·塞萨尔 40.0%
马塞洛·卡斯特罗 25.6%
西罗·诺盖拉 18%
蒂亚戈·朱克雷拉 4.6%
$44,865 交易量
$44,865 交易量
2026-10-04
胡里奥·塞萨尔
$6,464 交易量
45%
马塞洛·卡斯特罗
$8,227 交易量
26%
西罗·诺盖拉
$16,567 交易量
18%
蒂亚戈·朱克雷拉
$1,241 交易量
5%
玛丽亚·马达莱娜·努内斯
$780 交易量
1%
Jardenya Bezerra
$790 交易量
<1%
托因霍·杜夫兰戈
$797 交易量
<1%
Cloves José
$815 交易量
<1%
迪奥尼西奥·卡瓦略
$767 交易量
<1%
弗朗西纳尔多·莱昂
$834 交易量
<1%
亚历山大·马里亚诺
$811 交易量
<1%
传教士埃万德罗·克拉韦罗
$772 交易量
<1%
安东尼奥·巴罗斯
$730 交易量
<1%
安东尼奥·若泽·利拉
$778 交易量
<1%
丹尼尔·罗查
$759 交易量
<1%
伊尔芒·埃万德罗·马尔克斯
$785 交易量
<1%
乔治·洛佩斯
$643 交易量
<1%
少校保罗·罗伯托
$782 交易量
<1%
牧师塞纳
$791 交易量
<1%
佩德罗·劳伦蒂诺
$732 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling in the Piauí Senate race for the two seats up in 2026 shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) frequently leading or tied, with Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) competing closely behind amid high undecided shares and strategic two-vote dynamics.** Júlio César benefits from lower rejection rates and alignment with the state government coalition, positioning him as the frontrunner for second place in trader assessments. Ciro Nogueira’s higher rejection has capped his momentum despite incumbency, while other registered candidates trail far behind in surveys from mid-2026 onward. The market’s tight pricing around leading contenders reflects ongoing uncertainty from late undecided voters, potential shifts in second-preference flows, and the absence of decisive late-campaign events that could reorder the pelotão.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$44,865结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling in the Piauí Senate race for the two seats up in 2026 shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) frequently leading or tied, with Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) competing closely behind amid high undecided shares and strategic two-vote dynamics.** Júlio César benefits from lower rejection rates and alignment with the state government coalition, positioning him as the frontrunner for second place in trader assessments. Ciro Nogueira’s higher rejection has capped his momentum despite incumbency, while other registered candidates trail far behind in surveys from mid-2026 onward. The market’s tight pricing around leading contenders reflects ongoing uncertainty from late undecided voters, potential shifts in second-preference flows, and the absence of decisive late-campaign events that could reorder the pelotão.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$44,865结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET**Recent polling in the Piauí Senate race for the two seats up in 2026 shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) frequently leading or tied, with Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) competing closely behind amid high undecided shares and strategic two-vote dynamics.** Júlio César benefits from lower rejection rates and alignment with the state government coalition, positioning him as the frontrunner for second place in trader assessments. Ciro Nogueira’s higher rejection has capped his momentum despite incumbency, while other registered candidates trail far behind in surveys from mid-2026 onward. The market’s tight pricing around leading contenders reflects ongoing uncertainty from late undecided voters, potential shifts in second-preference flows, and the absence of decisive late-campaign events that could reorder the pelotão.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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