OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement that an unreleased internal model directed 10,000 AI agents to solve the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—the second Millennium Prize solution after Poincaré—has sharply raised trader expectations for additional breakthroughs. The 88-hour effort, followed by GPT-6 Astra Lean formalization, demonstrated scalable agent-based reasoning on a long-standing fluid-dynamics singularity question and cost an estimated $10–15 million in compute. Competition with Anthropic researchers, who released related work hours earlier, plus OpenAI’s explicit goal of showcasing model capability rather than claiming the $1 million prize, underscores the incentive to target the five remaining problems. Mathematician scrutiny of the published proof and any follow-on agent deployments on other conjectures now represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$233,665 交易量
2026年9月30日
16%
2026年12月31日
57%
2027年12月31日
84%
$233,665 交易量
2026年9月30日
16%
2026年12月31日
57%
2027年12月31日
84%
The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI’s September 8, 2026 announcement that an unreleased internal model directed 10,000 AI agents to solve the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—the second Millennium Prize solution after Poincaré—has sharply raised trader expectations for additional breakthroughs. The 88-hour effort, followed by GPT-6 Astra Lean formalization, demonstrated scalable agent-based reasoning on a long-standing fluid-dynamics singularity question and cost an estimated $10–15 million in compute. Competition with Anthropic researchers, who released related work hours earlier, plus OpenAI’s explicit goal of showcasing model capability rather than claiming the $1 million prize, underscores the incentive to target the five remaining problems. Mathematician scrutiny of the published proof and any follow-on agent deployments on other conjectures now represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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