Incumbent Josh Gottheimer maintains a commanding lead in the NJ-05 House race due to his established position in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with overwhelming fundraising advantages and uncontested primaries for both major-party nominees. Gottheimer secured the Democratic nomination without opposition on June 2, while Republican Sean Kirrane advanced similarly after potential primary challengers withdrew. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats, and Kirrane's limited campaign resources have not altered the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include significant national political realignments, major candidate-specific developments such as health or ethics issues, or unusually high independent turnout, though current conditions show few indicators of such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,211 交易量
$26,211 交易量
2026-11-03
乔什·戈特海默（民主党）
95%
肖恩·基拉尼（共和党）
4%
$26,211 交易量
$26,211 交易量
2026-11-03
乔什·戈特海默（民主党）
$19,054 交易量
95%
肖恩·基拉尼（共和党）
$7,158 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Josh Gottheimer maintains a commanding lead in the NJ-05 House race due to his established position in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with overwhelming fundraising advantages and uncontested primaries for both major-party nominees. Gottheimer secured the Democratic nomination without opposition on June 2, while Republican Sean Kirrane advanced similarly after potential primary challengers withdrew. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats, and Kirrane's limited campaign resources have not altered the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include significant national political realignments, major candidate-specific developments such as health or ethics issues, or unusually high independent turnout, though current conditions show few indicators of such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$26,211结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Josh Gottheimer maintains a commanding lead in the NJ-05 House race due to his established position in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with overwhelming fundraising advantages and uncontested primaries for both major-party nominees. Gottheimer secured the Democratic nomination without opposition on June 2, while Republican Sean Kirrane advanced similarly after potential primary challengers withdrew. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats, and Kirrane's limited campaign resources have not altered the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include significant national political realignments, major candidate-specific developments such as health or ethics issues, or unusually high independent turnout, though current conditions show few indicators of such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,211结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETIncumbent Josh Gottheimer maintains a commanding lead in the NJ-05 House race due to his established position in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with overwhelming fundraising advantages and uncontested primaries for both major-party nominees. Gottheimer secured the Democratic nomination without opposition on June 2, while Republican Sean Kirrane advanced similarly after potential primary challengers withdrew. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats, and Kirrane's limited campaign resources have not altered the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include significant national political realignments, major candidate-specific developments such as health or ethics issues, or unusually high independent turnout, though current conditions show few indicators of such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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