Stefany Shaheen holds a strong lead in the NH-01 House race following her narrow victory in the September 8 Democratic primary over Maura Sullivan, while Anthony DiLorenzo secured the Republican nomination with a clear primary win backed by President Trump. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, sits in a southeastern New Hampshire district that Democrats have held since 2017 but that has changed hands multiple times historically and carries lean-Democrat ratings from major forecasters. Shaheen’s family name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, combined with the district’s recent voting patterns and higher Democratic primary turnout, underpins trader consensus on her position. DiLorenzo’s self-funding and Trump endorsement provide Republican momentum, yet structural factors continue to favor the Democratic nominee in the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于斯蒂芬妮·沙欣(民主党)
89%
安东尼·迪洛伦佐(共和党)
12%
斯蒂芬妮·沙欣(民主党)
89%
安东尼·迪洛伦佐(共和党)
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Stefany Shaheen holds a strong lead in the NH-01 House race following her narrow victory in the September 8 Democratic primary over Maura Sullivan, while Anthony DiLorenzo secured the Republican nomination with a clear primary win backed by President Trump. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, sits in a southeastern New Hampshire district that Democrats have held since 2017 but that has changed hands multiple times historically and carries lean-Democrat ratings from major forecasters. Shaheen’s family name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, combined with the district’s recent voting patterns and higher Democratic primary turnout, underpins trader consensus on her position. DiLorenzo’s self-funding and Trump endorsement provide Republican momentum, yet structural factors continue to favor the Democratic nominee in the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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