Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain maintains a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. McClain’s unopposed August 4 primary victory, her prior general election margins exceeding 30 points, and role as House Republican Conference chair reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Democrat Ray Pooley, a machinist who also advanced unopposed, faces structural challenges including limited name recognition and fundraising in a district spanning rural Thumb counties and suburban Macomb and Oakland areas. Forecasters cite the seat’s consistent Republican performance and demographic profile as primary drivers. A late national shift or unforeseen personal development for McClain represent the main pathways that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,708 交易量
$33,708 交易量
2026-11-02
丽莎·麦克莱恩（共和党）
95%
雷·普利（民主党）
6%
$33,708 交易量
$33,708 交易量
2026-11-02
丽莎·麦克莱恩（共和党）
$27,141 交易量
95%
雷·普利（民主党）
$6,567 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain maintains a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. McClain’s unopposed August 4 primary victory, her prior general election margins exceeding 30 points, and role as House Republican Conference chair reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Democrat Ray Pooley, a machinist who also advanced unopposed, faces structural challenges including limited name recognition and fundraising in a district spanning rural Thumb counties and suburban Macomb and Oakland areas. Forecasters cite the seat’s consistent Republican performance and demographic profile as primary drivers. A late national shift or unforeseen personal development for McClain represent the main pathways that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$33,708结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain maintains a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. McClain’s unopposed August 4 primary victory, her prior general election margins exceeding 30 points, and role as House Republican Conference chair reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Democrat Ray Pooley, a machinist who also advanced unopposed, faces structural challenges including limited name recognition and fundraising in a district spanning rural Thumb counties and suburban Macomb and Oakland areas. Forecasters cite the seat’s consistent Republican performance and demographic profile as primary drivers. A late national shift or unforeseen personal development for McClain represent the main pathways that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,708结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Lisa McClain maintains a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. McClain’s unopposed August 4 primary victory, her prior general election margins exceeding 30 points, and role as House Republican Conference chair reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Democrat Ray Pooley, a machinist who also advanced unopposed, faces structural challenges including limited name recognition and fundraising in a district spanning rural Thumb counties and suburban Macomb and Oakland areas. Forecasters cite the seat’s consistent Republican performance and demographic profile as primary drivers. A late national shift or unforeseen personal development for McClain represent the main pathways that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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