Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2013, and recent primary victory over challenger Craig Swallow. Fundraising data shows Keating maintaining a clear edge over Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister, a former Mattapoisett select board member focused on coastal issues and energy policy. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95% for Keating reflects these structural advantages and historical results in the district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late health developments affecting the incumbent, major national political shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current indicators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,264 交易量
$23,264 交易量
2026-11-02
比尔·基廷（民主党）
95%
泰勒·麦卡利斯特（共和党）
5%
$23,264 交易量
$23,264 交易量
2026-11-02
比尔·基廷（民主党）
$8,275 交易量
95%
泰勒·麦卡利斯特（共和党）
$14,989 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2013, and recent primary victory over challenger Craig Swallow. Fundraising data shows Keating maintaining a clear edge over Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister, a former Mattapoisett select board member focused on coastal issues and energy policy. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95% for Keating reflects these structural advantages and historical results in the district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late health developments affecting the incumbent, major national political shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$23,264结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2013, and recent primary victory over challenger Craig Swallow. Fundraising data shows Keating maintaining a clear edge over Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister, a former Mattapoisett select board member focused on coastal issues and energy policy. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95% for Keating reflects these structural advantages and historical results in the district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late health developments affecting the incumbent, major national political shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,264结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2013, and recent primary victory over challenger Craig Swallow. Fundraising data shows Keating maintaining a clear edge over Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister, a former Mattapoisett select board member focused on coastal issues and energy policy. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95% for Keating reflects these structural advantages and historical results in the district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late health developments affecting the incumbent, major national political shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current indicators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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