Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on September 20, 2026, driven by persistent rain, moderate southwesterly to westerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble consensus place the overnight low near this threshold amid unsettled Atlantic-influenced conditions typical for late September in central Poland. Trader positioning at 92% implied probability on 13°C reflects this alignment with authoritative guidance, though minor downward revisions could occur if winds weaken further or if localized clearing allows temperatures to dip to 12°C or below before dawn. Updated model outputs and station readings near resolution will determine final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日华沙最低气温？
9月20日华沙最低气温？
13°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
$8,748 交易量
$8,748 交易量
2026-09-20
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
13°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
$8,748 交易量
$8,748 交易量
2026-09-20
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$10 交易量
否
13°C
$425 交易量
是
14°C
$8,007 交易量
否
15°C
$112 交易量
否
16°C
$37 交易量
否
17°C
$31 交易量
否
18°C
$37 交易量
否
19°C
$37 交易量
否
20°C
$37 交易量
否
21°C或更高
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on September 20, 2026, driven by persistent rain, moderate southwesterly to westerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble consensus place the overnight low near this threshold amid unsettled Atlantic-influenced conditions typical for late September in central Poland. Trader positioning at 92% implied probability on 13°C reflects this alignment with authoritative guidance, though minor downward revisions could occur if winds weaken further or if localized clearing allows temperatures to dip to 12°C or below before dawn. Updated model outputs and station readings near resolution will determine final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$8,748结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on September 20, 2026, driven by persistent rain, moderate southwesterly to westerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble consensus place the overnight low near this threshold amid unsettled Atlantic-influenced conditions typical for late September in central Poland. Trader positioning at 92% implied probability on 13°C reflects this alignment with authoritative guidance, though minor downward revisions could occur if winds weaken further or if localized clearing allows temperatures to dip to 12°C or below before dawn. Updated model outputs and station readings near resolution will determine final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,748结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on September 20, 2026, driven by persistent rain, moderate southwesterly to westerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble consensus place the overnight low near this threshold amid unsettled Atlantic-influenced conditions typical for late September in central Poland. Trader positioning at 92% implied probability on 13°C reflects this alignment with authoritative guidance, though minor downward revisions could occur if winds weaken further or if localized clearing allows temperatures to dip to 12°C or below before dawn. Updated model outputs and station readings near resolution will determine final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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