Recent official forecasts and observational data position 14°C and 15°C as the leading outcomes for Warsaw's daily maximum on September 21, 2026, with showers and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime warming. Multiple model runs indicate afternoon temperatures peaking near 14–15°C under moderate westerly winds and high humidity, consistent with climatological September averages around 16°C but suppressed by precipitation and reduced solar radiation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5% and 37% implied probabilities, aligns with this narrow range amid typical forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to favor higher or lower thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙9月21日的最高温度？
华沙9月21日的最高温度？
14°C 56%
15°C 37%
16°C 6%
13°C 4%
$29,732 交易量
$29,732 交易量
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
56%
15°C
37%
16°C
6%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
14°C 56%
15°C 37%
16°C 6%
13°C 4%
$29,732 交易量
$29,732 交易量
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
$267 交易量
<1%
11°C
$211 交易量
<1%
12°C
$168 交易量
<1%
13°C
$3,433 交易量
4%
14°C
$8,620 交易量
56%
15°C
$4,259 交易量
37%
16°C
$8,941 交易量
6%
17°C
$1,371 交易量
<1%
18°C
$760 交易量
<1%
19°C
$760 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$1,168 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational data position 14°C and 15°C as the leading outcomes for Warsaw's daily maximum on September 21, 2026, with showers and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime warming. Multiple model runs indicate afternoon temperatures peaking near 14–15°C under moderate westerly winds and high humidity, consistent with climatological September averages around 16°C but suppressed by precipitation and reduced solar radiation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5% and 37% implied probabilities, aligns with this narrow range amid typical forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to favor higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$29,732结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational data position 14°C and 15°C as the leading outcomes for Warsaw's daily maximum on September 21, 2026, with showers and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime warming. Multiple model runs indicate afternoon temperatures peaking near 14–15°C under moderate westerly winds and high humidity, consistent with climatological September averages around 16°C but suppressed by precipitation and reduced solar radiation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5% and 37% implied probabilities, aligns with this narrow range amid typical forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to favor higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,732结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent official forecasts and observational data position 14°C and 15°C as the leading outcomes for Warsaw's daily maximum on September 21, 2026, with showers and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime warming. Multiple model runs indicate afternoon temperatures peaking near 14–15°C under moderate westerly winds and high humidity, consistent with climatological September averages around 16°C but suppressed by precipitation and reduced solar radiation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5% and 37% implied probabilities, aligns with this narrow range amid typical forecast uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to favor higher or lower thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题