Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to overnight lows in Warsaw around 9–11°C on September 22, driving closely matched market odds between cooler and milder outcomes. Northwest winds and variable cloud cover are key variables: clearer periods could enhance radiative cooling and push minima lower, while increased cloudiness or mixing from showers would moderate temperatures. This aligns with typical late-September climatology, where average lows hover near 9–12°C amid transitional high-pressure patterns. Fresh model updates and observational data in the coming hours should narrow the spread ahead of the daily minimum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日华沙最低气温?
14°C或更高 88%
4°C或以下 87%
9°C 40%
10°C 39%
4°C或以下
87%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
33%
8°C
27%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
18%
12°C
39%
13°C
16%
14°C或更高
88%
14°C或更高 88%
4°C或以下 87%
9°C 40%
10°C 39%
4°C或以下
87%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
33%
8°C
27%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
18%
12°C
39%
13°C
16%
14°C或更高
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from multiple sources point to overnight lows in Warsaw around 9–11°C on September 22, driving closely matched market odds between cooler and milder outcomes. Northwest winds and variable cloud cover are key variables: clearer periods could enhance radiative cooling and push minima lower, while increased cloudiness or mixing from showers would moderate temperatures. This aligns with typical late-September climatology, where average lows hover near 9–12°C amid transitional high-pressure patterns. Fresh model updates and observational data in the coming hours should narrow the spread ahead of the daily minimum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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