**Northeasterly flow and associated cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping the implied minimum temperature for New York City on September 23 centered in the mid-50s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs project a low near 54–57°F, with breezy northeast winds of 15–20 mph limiting radiational cooling while maintaining a stable marine-influenced air mass. This produces a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities around the 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, reflecting modest spread in forecast minima tied to small differences in wind mixing and overnight cloud thickness. Warmer outcomes above 68°F carry lower implied odds consistent with the absence of any warm-air advection in current guidance, while sub-52°F readings remain possible only if stronger clearing develops than currently expected. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日纽约市最低气温？
9月23日纽约市最低气温？
68°F或更高 47%
50-51°F 31%
52-53°F 31%
62-63°F 31%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
49°F或以下
1%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
20%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
31%
68°F或更高
47%
68°F或更高 47%
50-51°F 31%
52-53°F 31%
62-63°F 31%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
49°F或以下
$22 交易量
1%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
31%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
31%
54-55°F
$20 交易量
13%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
25%
58-59°F
$29 交易量
20%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
19%
62-63°F
$5 交易量
31%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
31%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
31%
68°F或更高
$0 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeasterly flow and associated cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping the implied minimum temperature for New York City on September 23 centered in the mid-50s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs project a low near 54–57°F, with breezy northeast winds of 15–20 mph limiting radiational cooling while maintaining a stable marine-influenced air mass. This produces a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities around the 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, reflecting modest spread in forecast minima tied to small differences in wind mixing and overnight cloud thickness. Warmer outcomes above 68°F carry lower implied odds consistent with the absence of any warm-air advection in current guidance, while sub-52°F readings remain possible only if stronger clearing develops than currently expected. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$76结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeasterly flow and associated cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping the implied minimum temperature for New York City on September 23 centered in the mid-50s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs project a low near 54–57°F, with breezy northeast winds of 15–20 mph limiting radiational cooling while maintaining a stable marine-influenced air mass. This produces a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities around the 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, reflecting modest spread in forecast minima tied to small differences in wind mixing and overnight cloud thickness. Warmer outcomes above 68°F carry lower implied odds consistent with the absence of any warm-air advection in current guidance, while sub-52°F readings remain possible only if stronger clearing develops than currently expected. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$76结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Northeasterly flow and associated cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping the implied minimum temperature for New York City on September 23 centered in the mid-50s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs project a low near 54–57°F, with breezy northeast winds of 15–20 mph limiting radiational cooling while maintaining a stable marine-influenced air mass. This produces a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities around the 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, reflecting modest spread in forecast minima tied to small differences in wind mixing and overnight cloud thickness. Warmer outcomes above 68°F carry lower implied odds consistent with the absence of any warm-air advection in current guidance, while sub-52°F readings remain possible only if stronger clearing develops than currently expected. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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