Forecast models and real-time observations for Guangzhou on September 21 show a peak afternoon temperature near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. High humidity around 60–70% and light winds limit evaporative cooling, while the timing and intensity of any rain or cloud cover during the warmest hours (typically 13:00–16:00 local) will determine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 36°C. Recent model runs cluster around 35.7°C, supporting the near-even market split between 35°C and 36°C, with lower probabilities for 34°C or 37°C+ reflecting uncertainty in convective activity and steering patterns. Updated hourly data releases and official station readings will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日广州气温最高?
35°C 38%
36°C 30%
34°C 25%
37°C或以上 8%
$17,826 交易量
$17,826 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
38%
36°C
30%
37°C或以上
8%
35°C 38%
36°C 30%
34°C 25%
37°C或以上 8%
$17,826 交易量
$17,826 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
38%
36°C
30%
37°C或以上
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and real-time observations for Guangzhou on September 21 show a peak afternoon temperature near 35–36°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. High humidity around 60–70% and light winds limit evaporative cooling, while the timing and intensity of any rain or cloud cover during the warmest hours (typically 13:00–16:00 local) will determine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 36°C. Recent model runs cluster around 35.7°C, supporting the near-even market split between 35°C and 36°C, with lower probabilities for 34°C or 37°C+ reflecting uncertainty in convective activity and steering patterns. Updated hourly data releases and official station readings will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题