**The Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes formal impeachment before the end of 2026 highly improbable.** Passage requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes), so the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats cannot advance a motion without substantial cross-party defections that have not materialized. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment collected over 100,000 signatures and reached committee review, but analysts viewed it as dead on arrival given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s suspended criminal cases (election-law and development-related) have removed immediate judicial pressure since his June 2025 inauguration. Approval ratings have fallen into the mid-to-high 30s amid housing-policy criticism, cabinet-reshuffle controversies, and lingering local-election ballot issues, yet these factors have produced no legislative momentum or scheduled votes. With only months remaining until 2027 and no evident coalition shifts, traders assess the procedural and political barriers as decisive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$21,783 交易量
$21,783 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$21,783 交易量
$21,783 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**The Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes formal impeachment before the end of 2026 highly improbable.** Passage requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes), so the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats cannot advance a motion without substantial cross-party defections that have not materialized. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment collected over 100,000 signatures and reached committee review, but analysts viewed it as dead on arrival given the ruling party’s control.
Lee’s suspended criminal cases (election-law and development-related) have removed immediate judicial pressure since his June 2025 inauguration. Approval ratings have fallen into the mid-to-high 30s amid housing-policy criticism, cabinet-reshuffle controversies, and lingering local-election ballot issues, yet these factors have produced no legislative momentum or scheduled votes. With only months remaining until 2027 and no evident coalition shifts, traders assess the procedural and political barriers as decisive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$21,783结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**The Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes formal impeachment before the end of 2026 highly improbable.** Passage requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes), so the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats cannot advance a motion without substantial cross-party defections that have not materialized. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment collected over 100,000 signatures and reached committee review, but analysts viewed it as dead on arrival given the ruling party’s control.
Lee’s suspended criminal cases (election-law and development-related) have removed immediate judicial pressure since his June 2025 inauguration. Approval ratings have fallen into the mid-to-high 30s amid housing-policy criticism, cabinet-reshuffle controversies, and lingering local-election ballot issues, yet these factors have produced no legislative momentum or scheduled votes. With only months remaining until 2027 and no evident coalition shifts, traders assess the procedural and political barriers as decisive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$21,783结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET**The Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly makes formal impeachment before the end of 2026 highly improbable.** Passage requires a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes), so the opposition People Power Party’s 110 seats cannot advance a motion without substantial cross-party defections that have not materialized. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment collected over 100,000 signatures and reached committee review, but analysts viewed it as dead on arrival given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s suspended criminal cases (election-law and development-related) have removed immediate judicial pressure since his June 2025 inauguration. Approval ratings have fallen into the mid-to-high 30s amid housing-policy criticism, cabinet-reshuffle controversies, and lingering local-election ballot issues, yet these factors have produced no legislative momentum or scheduled votes. With only months remaining until 2027 and no evident coalition shifts, traders assess the procedural and political barriers as decisive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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