Taiwan's divided government, with President Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party facing a legislature controlled by the Kuomintang-led opposition and the Taiwan People's Party, has fueled repeated institutional clashes since 2024. A December 2025 impeachment motion, triggered by disputes over revenue-sharing legislation and the premier's refusal to countersign bills, advanced through initial legislative steps but failed a May 2026 floor vote, securing only 56 of the 76 votes needed for referral to the Constitutional Court. Persistent vacancies on the court, blocked nominations, and recent corruption indictments involving legislators from multiple parties have heightened gridlock without producing new impeachment initiatives. Upcoming November 2026 referendums and local contests could shift legislative dynamics or public pressure, though constitutional thresholds and coalition arithmetic continue to limit prospects for successful removal proceedings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,358,986 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
3%
$1,358,986 交易量
12月31日
$291 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's divided government, with President Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party facing a legislature controlled by the Kuomintang-led opposition and the Taiwan People's Party, has fueled repeated institutional clashes since 2024. A December 2025 impeachment motion, triggered by disputes over revenue-sharing legislation and the premier's refusal to countersign bills, advanced through initial legislative steps but failed a May 2026 floor vote, securing only 56 of the 76 votes needed for referral to the Constitutional Court. Persistent vacancies on the court, blocked nominations, and recent corruption indictments involving legislators from multiple parties have heightened gridlock without producing new impeachment initiatives. Upcoming November 2026 referendums and local contests could shift legislative dynamics or public pressure, though constitutional thresholds and coalition arithmetic continue to limit prospects for successful removal proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
交易量
$1,358,986结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's divided government, with President Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party facing a legislature controlled by the Kuomintang-led opposition and the Taiwan People's Party, has fueled repeated institutional clashes since 2024. A December 2025 impeachment motion, triggered by disputes over revenue-sharing legislation and the premier's refusal to countersign bills, advanced through initial legislative steps but failed a May 2026 floor vote, securing only 56 of the 76 votes needed for referral to the Constitutional Court. Persistent vacancies on the court, blocked nominations, and recent corruption indictments involving legislators from multiple parties have heightened gridlock without producing new impeachment initiatives. Upcoming November 2026 referendums and local contests could shift legislative dynamics or public pressure, though constitutional thresholds and coalition arithmetic continue to limit prospects for successful removal proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$1,358,986结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETTaiwan's divided government, with President Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party facing a legislature controlled by the Kuomintang-led opposition and the Taiwan People's Party, has fueled repeated institutional clashes since 2024. A December 2025 impeachment motion, triggered by disputes over revenue-sharing legislation and the premier's refusal to countersign bills, advanced through initial legislative steps but failed a May 2026 floor vote, securing only 56 of the 76 votes needed for referral to the Constitutional Court. Persistent vacancies on the court, blocked nominations, and recent corruption indictments involving legislators from multiple parties have heightened gridlock without producing new impeachment initiatives. Upcoming November 2026 referendums and local contests could shift legislative dynamics or public pressure, though constitutional thresholds and coalition arithmetic continue to limit prospects for successful removal proceedings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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