**President Lee Jae-myung faces multiple suspended criminal cases from his pre-presidency period, including election-law violations and corruption allegations tied to development projects and public funds, but South Korean law grants sitting presidents immunity from prosecution except in cases of insurrection or treason.** His trials were indefinitely postponed after his June 2025 election victory, with retrials deferred until after his term. The ruling Democratic Party holds a strong National Assembly majority and has advanced probes into alleged prior prosecutorial misconduct, while recent complaints against him (such as alleged North Korea-related payments) have been dismissed for lack of evidence. Opposition efforts to challenge his legal position have gained little traction amid his administration’s focus on other priorities and local election gains. With his term running until 2030 and no active arrest warrants or imminent impeachment proceedings, traders see little realistic path to detention before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$540,982 交易量
$540,982 交易量
2026-12-31
是
7% 概率
$540,982 交易量
$540,982 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung faces multiple suspended criminal cases from his pre-presidency period, including election-law violations and corruption allegations tied to development projects and public funds, but South Korean law grants sitting presidents immunity from prosecution except in cases of insurrection or treason.** His trials were indefinitely postponed after his June 2025 election victory, with retrials deferred until after his term. The ruling Democratic Party holds a strong National Assembly majority and has advanced probes into alleged prior prosecutorial misconduct, while recent complaints against him (such as alleged North Korea-related payments) have been dismissed for lack of evidence. Opposition efforts to challenge his legal position have gained little traction amid his administration’s focus on other priorities and local election gains. With his term running until 2030 and no active arrest warrants or imminent impeachment proceedings, traders see little realistic path to detention before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
交易量
$540,982结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung faces multiple suspended criminal cases from his pre-presidency period, including election-law violations and corruption allegations tied to development projects and public funds, but South Korean law grants sitting presidents immunity from prosecution except in cases of insurrection or treason.** His trials were indefinitely postponed after his June 2025 election victory, with retrials deferred until after his term. The ruling Democratic Party holds a strong National Assembly majority and has advanced probes into alleged prior prosecutorial misconduct, while recent complaints against him (such as alleged North Korea-related payments) have been dismissed for lack of evidence. Opposition efforts to challenge his legal position have gained little traction amid his administration’s focus on other priorities and local election gains. With his term running until 2030 and no active arrest warrants or imminent impeachment proceedings, traders see little realistic path to detention before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$540,982结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET**President Lee Jae-myung faces multiple suspended criminal cases from his pre-presidency period, including election-law violations and corruption allegations tied to development projects and public funds, but South Korean law grants sitting presidents immunity from prosecution except in cases of insurrection or treason.** His trials were indefinitely postponed after his June 2025 election victory, with retrials deferred until after his term. The ruling Democratic Party holds a strong National Assembly majority and has advanced probes into alleged prior prosecutorial misconduct, while recent complaints against him (such as alleged North Korea-related payments) have been dismissed for lack of evidence. Opposition efforts to challenge his legal position have gained little traction amid his administration’s focus on other priorities and local election gains. With his term running until 2030 and no active arrest warrants or imminent impeachment proceedings, traders see little realistic path to detention before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题