Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing momentum after the August ISM PMI printed at 54.6—down 1 point from July’s 55.6 and below the 55.2 consensus—anchors trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed sharply to 53.7 while production held near 58.3, employment eased to 51.2, and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains. These factors, combined with forecasts pointing to readings near 54, explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 54.0–55.9. Elevated input costs and slower order pipelines introduce downside risks, yet low customer inventories and ongoing expansion in production and exports could support stability near recent levels ahead of the October 1 release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于55.0到55.9 21%
54.0到54.9 21%
53.0到53.9 20%
52.0到52.9 18%
最新
最新
2026-10-01
低于50.0
1%
50.0到50.9
1%
51.0到51.9
6%
52.0到52.9
17%
53.0到53.9
20%
54.0到54.9
21%
55.0到55.9
21%
56.0到56.9
8%
57.0到57.9
13%
58.0以上
4%
55.0到55.9 21%
54.0到54.9 21%
53.0到53.9 20%
52.0到52.9 18%
最新
最新
2026-10-01
低于50.0
$205 交易量
1%
50.0到50.9
$982 交易量
1%
51.0到51.9
$702 交易量
6%
52.0到52.9
$141 交易量
17%
53.0到53.9
$725 交易量
20%
54.0到54.9
$2,093 交易量
21%
55.0到55.9
$185 交易量
21%
56.0到56.9
$78 交易量
8%
57.0到57.9
$2,367 交易量
13%
58.0以上
$214 交易量
4%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing momentum after the August ISM PMI printed at 54.6—down 1 point from July’s 55.6 and below the 55.2 consensus—anchors trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed sharply to 53.7 while production held near 58.3, employment eased to 51.2, and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains. These factors, combined with forecasts pointing to readings near 54, explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 54.0–55.9. Elevated input costs and slower order pipelines introduce downside risks, yet low customer inventories and ongoing expansion in production and exports could support stability near recent levels ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$7,692结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETThis is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing momentum after the August ISM PMI printed at 54.6—down 1 point from July’s 55.6 and below the 55.2 consensus—anchors trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed sharply to 53.7 while production held near 58.3, employment eased to 51.2, and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains. These factors, combined with forecasts pointing to readings near 54, explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 54.0–55.9. Elevated input costs and slower order pipelines introduce downside risks, yet low customer inventories and ongoing expansion in production and exports could support stability near recent levels ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$7,692结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETRecent moderation in U.S. manufacturing momentum after the August ISM PMI printed at 54.6—down 1 point from July’s 55.6 and below the 55.2 consensus—anchors trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed sharply to 53.7 while production held near 58.3, employment eased to 51.2, and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains. These factors, combined with forecasts pointing to readings near 54, explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 54.0–55.9. Elevated input costs and slower order pipelines introduce downside risks, yet low customer inventories and ongoing expansion in production and exports could support stability near recent levels ahead of the October 1 release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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