Recent consensus forecasts for the August 2026 Core CPI MoM print, scheduled for release September 11 at 8:30 a.m. ET, cluster tightly around 0.2%, following July’s matching 0.2% gain and 2.5% year-over-year rate. Analysts cite continued moderation in core goods prices, normalizing vehicle and recreation costs, and slightly softer shelter components—owners’ equivalent rent and primary rent expected near 0.22–0.23%—as key supports for the outcome. The July print’s alignment with expectations reinforced the gradual disinflation trajectory, with energy volatility excluded from the core measure. Polymarket’s 65.5% implied probability on 0.2% and 27.0% on 0.3% reflect aggregated trader positioning ahead of the data, which will inform near-term Fed rate-path assessments. No major intervening releases are expected to alter the baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.2% 66%
0.3% 27%
0.1% 5%
0.4% 2.4%
$34,063 交易量
$34,063 交易量
2026-09-10
≤0.0%
2%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
66%
0.3%
27%
0.4%
2%
0.5%
<1%
0.6%及以上
1%
0.2% 66%
0.3% 27%
0.1% 5%
0.4% 2.4%
$34,063 交易量
$34,063 交易量
2026-09-10
≤0.0%
$4,238 交易量
2%
0.1%
$5,213 交易量
5%
0.2%
$11,081 交易量
66%
0.3%
$8,268 交易量
27%
0.4%
$3,098 交易量
2%
0.5%
$1,218 交易量
<1%
0.6%及以上
$962 交易量
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent consensus forecasts for the August 2026 Core CPI MoM print, scheduled for release September 11 at 8:30 a.m. ET, cluster tightly around 0.2%, following July’s matching 0.2% gain and 2.5% year-over-year rate. Analysts cite continued moderation in core goods prices, normalizing vehicle and recreation costs, and slightly softer shelter components—owners’ equivalent rent and primary rent expected near 0.22–0.23%—as key supports for the outcome. The July print’s alignment with expectations reinforced the gradual disinflation trajectory, with energy volatility excluded from the core measure. Polymarket’s 65.5% implied probability on 0.2% and 27.0% on 0.3% reflect aggregated trader positioning ahead of the data, which will inform near-term Fed rate-path assessments. No major intervening releases are expected to alter the baseline.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
交易量
$34,063结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETThis is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent consensus forecasts for the August 2026 Core CPI MoM print, scheduled for release September 11 at 8:30 a.m. ET, cluster tightly around 0.2%, following July’s matching 0.2% gain and 2.5% year-over-year rate. Analysts cite continued moderation in core goods prices, normalizing vehicle and recreation costs, and slightly softer shelter components—owners’ equivalent rent and primary rent expected near 0.22–0.23%—as key supports for the outcome. The July print’s alignment with expectations reinforced the gradual disinflation trajectory, with energy volatility excluded from the core measure. Polymarket’s 65.5% implied probability on 0.2% and 27.0% on 0.3% reflect aggregated trader positioning ahead of the data, which will inform near-term Fed rate-path assessments. No major intervening releases are expected to alter the baseline.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$34,063结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETRecent consensus forecasts for the August 2026 Core CPI MoM print, scheduled for release September 11 at 8:30 a.m. ET, cluster tightly around 0.2%, following July’s matching 0.2% gain and 2.5% year-over-year rate. Analysts cite continued moderation in core goods prices, normalizing vehicle and recreation costs, and slightly softer shelter components—owners’ equivalent rent and primary rent expected near 0.22–0.23%—as key supports for the outcome. The July print’s alignment with expectations reinforced the gradual disinflation trajectory, with energy volatility excluded from the core measure. Polymarket’s 65.5% implied probability on 0.2% and 27.0% on 0.3% reflect aggregated trader positioning ahead of the data, which will inform near-term Fed rate-path assessments. No major intervening releases are expected to alter the baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题