Austin Scott's commanding position in the GA-08 House race stems from the district's established Republican lean, reflected in a Cook PVI of R+15 and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points. As the incumbent since 2011 with strong ties to agriculture policy and committee leadership, Scott faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Kelly Esti narrowly won her May 2026 primary and trails significantly in fundraising. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and low Democratic infrastructure make such outcomes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,874 交易量
$41,874 交易量
2026-11-02
奥斯汀·斯科特（共和党）
94%
凯利·埃斯蒂（民主党）
7%
$41,874 交易量
$41,874 交易量
2026-11-02
奥斯汀·斯科特（共和党）
$21,807 交易量
94%
凯利·埃斯蒂（民主党）
$20,068 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Scott's commanding position in the GA-08 House race stems from the district's established Republican lean, reflected in a Cook PVI of R+15 and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points. As the incumbent since 2011 with strong ties to agriculture policy and committee leadership, Scott faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Kelly Esti narrowly won her May 2026 primary and trails significantly in fundraising. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and low Democratic infrastructure make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$41,874结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Scott's commanding position in the GA-08 House race stems from the district's established Republican lean, reflected in a Cook PVI of R+15 and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points. As the incumbent since 2011 with strong ties to agriculture policy and committee leadership, Scott faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Kelly Esti narrowly won her May 2026 primary and trails significantly in fundraising. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and low Democratic infrastructure make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,874结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETAustin Scott's commanding position in the GA-08 House race stems from the district's established Republican lean, reflected in a Cook PVI of R+15 and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points. As the incumbent since 2011 with strong ties to agriculture policy and committee leadership, Scott faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Kelly Esti narrowly won her May 2026 primary and trails significantly in fundraising. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and low Democratic infrastructure make such outcomes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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