Paige Cognetti holds the lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District largely because of incumbent Rob Bresnahan’s persistent vulnerabilities on congressional stock trading and unfavorable personal ratings in a district that supported Donald Trump by roughly nine points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan raters classify the race as a toss-up after Bresnahan executed hundreds of trades early in his term, drawing sustained criticism for breaking a prior pledge against such activity. Cognetti has capitalized with stronger recent fundraising, higher cash reserves, and targeted advertising on local concerns including data-center development and utility costs. Recent September ad exchanges, including Republican spots on social issues and Democratic responses on financial conflicts, have kept the contest competitive but reinforced perceptions of momentum for the Democratic challenger heading into the fall campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
佩奇·科格内蒂（民主党）
63%
罗布·布雷斯纳汉（共和党）
35%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
佩奇·科格内蒂（民主党）
$5,018 交易量
63%
罗布·布雷斯纳汉（共和党）
$3,125 交易量
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paige Cognetti holds the lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District largely because of incumbent Rob Bresnahan’s persistent vulnerabilities on congressional stock trading and unfavorable personal ratings in a district that supported Donald Trump by roughly nine points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan raters classify the race as a toss-up after Bresnahan executed hundreds of trades early in his term, drawing sustained criticism for breaking a prior pledge against such activity. Cognetti has capitalized with stronger recent fundraising, higher cash reserves, and targeted advertising on local concerns including data-center development and utility costs. Recent September ad exchanges, including Republican spots on social issues and Democratic responses on financial conflicts, have kept the contest competitive but reinforced perceptions of momentum for the Democratic challenger heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$8,143结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paige Cognetti holds the lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District largely because of incumbent Rob Bresnahan’s persistent vulnerabilities on congressional stock trading and unfavorable personal ratings in a district that supported Donald Trump by roughly nine points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan raters classify the race as a toss-up after Bresnahan executed hundreds of trades early in his term, drawing sustained criticism for breaking a prior pledge against such activity. Cognetti has capitalized with stronger recent fundraising, higher cash reserves, and targeted advertising on local concerns including data-center development and utility costs. Recent September ad exchanges, including Republican spots on social issues and Democratic responses on financial conflicts, have kept the contest competitive but reinforced perceptions of momentum for the Democratic challenger heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,143结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETPaige Cognetti holds the lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District largely because of incumbent Rob Bresnahan’s persistent vulnerabilities on congressional stock trading and unfavorable personal ratings in a district that supported Donald Trump by roughly nine points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan raters classify the race as a toss-up after Bresnahan executed hundreds of trades early in his term, drawing sustained criticism for breaking a prior pledge against such activity. Cognetti has capitalized with stronger recent fundraising, higher cash reserves, and targeted advertising on local concerns including data-center development and utility costs. Recent September ad exchanges, including Republican spots on social issues and Democratic responses on financial conflicts, have kept the contest competitive but reinforced perceptions of momentum for the Democratic challenger heading into the fall campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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