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icon for Yoon在2027年之前就出獄了?

Yoon在2027年之前就出獄了?

icon for Yoon在2027年之前就出獄了?

Yoon在2027年之前就出獄了?

7% 機率
Polymarket

$207,650 交易量

7% 機率
Polymarket

$207,650 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration.** A Seoul court sentenced the former president to life imprisonment in February 2026 for insurrection, with additional terms including 30 years in June for related charges involving drone operations and a seven-year sentence upheld by the Supreme Court in July for obstructing justice and abuse of power. These rulings have kept him detained at Seoul Detention Center amid ongoing appeals. Recent September 2026 acquittals on separate perjury and power-abuse counts have not altered his status or prompted release. South Korean law provides no automatic bail or early exit pending higher-court review in such cases, and no executive pardon has been granted under the current administration. Traders price the low likelihood of release before December 31, 2026, around these confirmed judicial outcomes and the barriers to overturning life sentences quickly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$207,650
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration.** A Seoul court sentenced the former president to life imprisonment in February 2026 for insurrection, with additional terms including 30 years in June for related charges involving drone operations and a seven-year sentence upheld by the Supreme Court in July for obstructing justice and abuse of power. These rulings have kept him detained at Seoul Detention Center amid ongoing appeals. Recent September 2026 acquittals on separate perjury and power-abuse counts have not altered his status or prompted release. South Korean law provides no automatic bail or early exit pending higher-court review in such cases, and no executive pardon has been granted under the current administration. Traders price the low likelihood of release before December 31, 2026, around these confirmed judicial outcomes and the barriers to overturning life sentences quickly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$207,650
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Yoon在2027年之前就出獄了?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尹會在2027年前獲釋嗎?" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Yoon在2027年之前就出獄了?" has generated $207.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Yoon在2027年之前就出獄了?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Yoon在2027年之前就出獄了?" is "尹會在2027年前獲釋嗎?" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Yoon在2027年之前就出獄了?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.