Die Linke leads Berlin’s Abgeordnetenhaus election with roughly 25 percent of the vote, ahead of the CDU on about 20 percent, producing a projected 5-point margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 5-10 percent outcome. Trader pricing reflects the party’s emphasis on housing shortages and rent controls, which resonated strongly with younger and eastern-district voters amid a tight CDU-SPD governing record. Recent state polls had shown Die Linke ahead by 1-3 points; exit data widened the gap as the CDU suffered losses tied to national dissatisfaction with Chancellor Merz. AfD support stabilized near 15-16 percent, supporting narrower 2-5 percent ranges for that party, while smaller shares for CDU and Linke in other buckets capture residual uncertainty around final turnout and district results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Linke 5-10% 99.9%
AfD 2-5% 99.8%
AfD 5%以上 49.9%
Linke 10%以上 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
Linke 0-2%
10%
Linke 2-5%
1%
Linke 5-10%
75%
Linke 10%以上
7%
基民盟 0-2%
<1%
基民盟2-5%
12%
基民盟 5-10%
1%
基民盟10%+
<1%
AfD 0-2%
4%
AfD 2-5%
100%
AfD 5%以上
50%
其他政黨勝出
<1%
Linke 5-10% 99.9%
AfD 2-5% 99.8%
AfD 5%以上 49.9%
Linke 10%以上 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
Linke 0-2%
$1,205 交易量
10%
Linke 2-5%
$1,056 交易量
1%
Linke 5-10%
$760 交易量
75%
Linke 10%以上
$261 交易量
7%
基民盟 0-2%
$928 交易量
<1%
基民盟2-5%
$203 交易量
12%
基民盟 5-10%
$482 交易量
1%
基民盟10%+
$184 交易量
<1%
AfD 0-2%
$422 交易量
4%
AfD 2-5%
$181 交易量
100%
AfD 5%以上
$176 交易量
50%
其他政黨勝出
$163 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Die Linke leads Berlin’s Abgeordnetenhaus election with roughly 25 percent of the vote, ahead of the CDU on about 20 percent, producing a projected 5-point margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 5-10 percent outcome. Trader pricing reflects the party’s emphasis on housing shortages and rent controls, which resonated strongly with younger and eastern-district voters amid a tight CDU-SPD governing record. Recent state polls had shown Die Linke ahead by 1-3 points; exit data widened the gap as the CDU suffered losses tied to national dissatisfaction with Chancellor Merz. AfD support stabilized near 15-16 percent, supporting narrower 2-5 percent ranges for that party, while smaller shares for CDU and Linke in other buckets capture residual uncertainty around final turnout and district results.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
交易量
$6,020結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 10:21 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Die Linke leads Berlin’s Abgeordnetenhaus election with roughly 25 percent of the vote, ahead of the CDU on about 20 percent, producing a projected 5-point margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 5-10 percent outcome. Trader pricing reflects the party’s emphasis on housing shortages and rent controls, which resonated strongly with younger and eastern-district voters amid a tight CDU-SPD governing record. Recent state polls had shown Die Linke ahead by 1-3 points; exit data widened the gap as the CDU suffered losses tied to national dissatisfaction with Chancellor Merz. AfD support stabilized near 15-16 percent, supporting narrower 2-5 percent ranges for that party, while smaller shares for CDU and Linke in other buckets capture residual uncertainty around final turnout and district results.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
交易量
$6,020結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 10:21 PM ETDie Linke leads Berlin’s Abgeordnetenhaus election with roughly 25 percent of the vote, ahead of the CDU on about 20 percent, producing a projected 5-point margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 5-10 percent outcome. Trader pricing reflects the party’s emphasis on housing shortages and rent controls, which resonated strongly with younger and eastern-district voters amid a tight CDU-SPD governing record. Recent state polls had shown Die Linke ahead by 1-3 points; exit data widened the gap as the CDU suffered losses tied to national dissatisfaction with Chancellor Merz. AfD support stabilized near 15-16 percent, supporting narrower 2-5 percent ranges for that party, while smaller shares for CDU and Linke in other buckets capture residual uncertainty around final turnout and district results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions