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icon for 普京在擔任俄羅斯總統之前... ？
地緣政治·普京

普京在擔任俄羅斯總統之前... ？

icon for 普京在擔任俄羅斯總統之前... ？
地緣政治·普京

普京在擔任俄羅斯總統之前... ？

7月 1, 2027

7月 1, 2027

$23,760,298 交易量

2026-09-30
賺 3.25% 收益
Polymarket

$23,760,298 交易量

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$1,207,419 交易量

1%

2026年12月31日

$20,766,559 交易量

7%

2027年6月30日

$432,367 交易量

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin remains firmly entrenched as Russia's president amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, with his position bolstered by constitutional provisions allowing rule until 2036 and the absence of a designated successor or organized internal challenge. As of mid-September 2026, recent diplomacy including meetings with U.S. envoys in early September and participation in the BRICS summit in India has shown no signs of diminished authority, while the Kremlin prepares for September State Duma elections where United Russia seeks to maintain dominance. Economic strains from Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure and elite discussions around succession or war strategy have surfaced in reporting, yet these have not translated into measurable pressure for an immediate transition. Trader consensus assigns low probabilities to his departure by late 2026 or mid-2027, reflecting the system's stability and Putin's centralized control despite the war's duration and costs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,760,298
結束日期
2027-07-01
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin remains firmly entrenched as Russia's president amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, with his position bolstered by constitutional provisions allowing rule until 2036 and the absence of a designated successor or organized internal challenge. As of mid-September 2026, recent diplomacy including meetings with U.S. envoys in early September and participation in the BRICS summit in India has shown no signs of diminished authority, while the Kremlin prepares for September State Duma elections where United Russia seeks to maintain dominance. Economic strains from Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure and elite discussions around succession or war strategy have surfaced in reporting, yet these have not translated into measurable pressure for an immediate transition. Trader consensus assigns low probabilities to his departure by late 2026 or mid-2027, reflecting the system's stability and Putin's centralized control despite the war's duration and costs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,760,298
結束日期
2027-07-01
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"普京在擔任俄羅斯總統之前... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2027年6月30日" at 14%, followed by "2026年12月31日" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "普京在擔任俄羅斯總統之前... ？" has generated $23.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "普京在擔任俄羅斯總統之前... ？," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "普京在擔任俄羅斯總統之前... ？" is "2027年6月30日" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "普京在擔任俄羅斯總統之前... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.