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icon for 下一任拉脫維亞總理？
世界·拉脫維亞

下一任拉脫維亞總理？

icon for 下一任拉脫維亞總理？
世界·拉脫維亞

下一任拉脫維亞總理？

安德里斯·庫爾貝爾格斯 81%

維克托斯·瓦萊尼斯 10.5%

Andris Šuvajevs 5.3%

尤莉婭·斯特帕年科 5.0%

Polymarket
最新

安德里斯·庫爾貝爾格斯 81%

維克托斯·瓦萊尼斯 10.5%

Andris Šuvajevs 5.3%

尤莉婭·斯特帕年科 5.0%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 安德里斯·庫爾貝爾格斯

安德里斯·庫爾貝爾格斯

$2,703 交易量

81%

icon for 維克托斯·瓦萊尼斯

維克托斯·瓦萊尼斯

$152 交易量

11%

icon for Andris Šuvajevs

Andris Šuvajevs

$152 交易量

5%

icon for 尤莉婭·斯特帕年科

尤莉婭·斯特帕年科

$250 交易量

5%

icon for 阿爾維爾斯·阿舍拉登斯

阿爾維爾斯·阿舍拉登斯

$106 交易量

4%

icon for 伊爾澤·印德里克索內

伊爾澤·印德里克索內

$107 交易量

3%

icon for 艾納爾斯·什萊塞爾斯

艾納爾斯·什萊塞爾斯

$315 交易量

2%

icon for 斯維特拉娜·楚爾科娃

斯維特拉娜·楚爾科娃

$160 交易量

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andris Kulbergs holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to his incumbency as prime minister since May 2026 and the United List's lead in recent polling ahead of the October 3 parliamentary elections. He formed a centre-right coalition government with New Unity, National Alliance, and the Union of Greens and Farmers after Evika Siliņa's resignation triggered a collapse over defence and security failures involving stray drones. Other named candidates, including Andris Šuvajevs, Jūlija Stepaņenko, Viktors Valainis, Ilze Indriksone, and Ainārs Šlesers, reflect party-nominated contenders whose lower probabilities align with their parties' more limited current support and the structural advantages of the sitting coalition heading into the vote. Upcoming election results will determine the next cabinet formation.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,945
結束日期
2026-10-03
市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 11:17 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andris Kulbergs holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to his incumbency as prime minister since May 2026 and the United List's lead in recent polling ahead of the October 3 parliamentary elections. He formed a centre-right coalition government with New Unity, National Alliance, and the Union of Greens and Farmers after Evika Siliņa's resignation triggered a collapse over defence and security failures involving stray drones. Other named candidates, including Andris Šuvajevs, Jūlija Stepaņenko, Viktors Valainis, Ilze Indriksone, and Ainārs Šlesers, reflect party-nominated contenders whose lower probabilities align with their parties' more limited current support and the structural advantages of the sitting coalition heading into the vote. Upcoming election results will determine the next cabinet formation.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,945
結束日期
2026-10-03
市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 11:17 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"下一任拉脫維亞總理？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "安德里斯·庫爾貝爾格斯" at 81%, followed by "維克托斯·瓦萊尼斯" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"下一任拉脫維亞總理？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "下一任拉脫維亞總理？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一任拉脫維亞總理？" is "安德里斯·庫爾貝爾格斯" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "維克托斯·瓦萊尼斯" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一任拉脫維亞總理？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.