Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary by defeating Rep. Seth Moulton with roughly 65% of the vote, demonstrating resilience amid age-related scrutiny in a state where Democrats hold a commanding structural advantage. Massachusetts delivered a 25-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, and current polling averages show Markey ahead of Republican John Deaton by more than 20 points, consistent with the race's Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Deaton, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary after his 2024 loss to Sen. Elizabeth Warren, faces the same headwinds in a low-turnout midterm environment unlikely to shift the electorate dramatically. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or health event to alter the outcome before voters decide.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,024 交易量
$48,024 交易量
2026-11-02
埃德·馬基（民主黨）
97%
約翰·迪頓（共和黨）
3%
$48,024 交易量
$48,024 交易量
2026-11-02
埃德·馬基（民主黨）
$35,054 交易量
97%
約翰·迪頓（共和黨）
$12,970 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary by defeating Rep. Seth Moulton with roughly 65% of the vote, demonstrating resilience amid age-related scrutiny in a state where Democrats hold a commanding structural advantage. Massachusetts delivered a 25-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, and current polling averages show Markey ahead of Republican John Deaton by more than 20 points, consistent with the race's Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Deaton, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary after his 2024 loss to Sen. Elizabeth Warren, faces the same headwinds in a low-turnout midterm environment unlikely to shift the electorate dramatically. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or health event to alter the outcome before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$48,024結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary by defeating Rep. Seth Moulton with roughly 65% of the vote, demonstrating resilience amid age-related scrutiny in a state where Democrats hold a commanding structural advantage. Massachusetts delivered a 25-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, and current polling averages show Markey ahead of Republican John Deaton by more than 20 points, consistent with the race's Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Deaton, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary after his 2024 loss to Sen. Elizabeth Warren, faces the same headwinds in a low-turnout midterm environment unlikely to shift the electorate dramatically. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or health event to alter the outcome before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$48,024結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETEd Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary by defeating Rep. Seth Moulton with roughly 65% of the vote, demonstrating resilience amid age-related scrutiny in a state where Democrats hold a commanding structural advantage. Massachusetts delivered a 25-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, and current polling averages show Markey ahead of Republican John Deaton by more than 20 points, consistent with the race's Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Deaton, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary after his 2024 loss to Sen. Elizabeth Warren, faces the same headwinds in a low-turnout midterm environment unlikely to shift the electorate dramatically. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as a major scandal or health event to alter the outcome before voters decide.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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