Katie Hobbs holds an 83% implied probability of winning Maricopa County in the 2026 Arizona governor race, reflecting her status as Democratic incumbent with established support in the state's largest population center. Andy Biggs, the Republican nominee who secured his party's nod in the July primary with 73.6% of the vote, sits at 14%. Recent polling aggregates show Hobbs ahead statewide by roughly eight points, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Lean Democratic. Key drivers include Hobbs' advertising edge, her selection of independent former Mesa mayor John Giles as running mate to appeal to centrists, and Biggs' record as a conservative U.S. representative. Voter turnout patterns in Maricopa, where early and mail voting play a major role, remain central to final margins ahead of the November 3 election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
凱蒂·霍布斯（民主黨）
83%
安迪·比格斯（共和黨）
14%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
凱蒂·霍布斯（民主黨）
$1,811 交易量
83%
安迪·比格斯（共和黨）
$496 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 83% implied probability of winning Maricopa County in the 2026 Arizona governor race, reflecting her status as Democratic incumbent with established support in the state's largest population center. Andy Biggs, the Republican nominee who secured his party's nod in the July primary with 73.6% of the vote, sits at 14%. Recent polling aggregates show Hobbs ahead statewide by roughly eight points, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Lean Democratic. Key drivers include Hobbs' advertising edge, her selection of independent former Mesa mayor John Giles as running mate to appeal to centrists, and Biggs' record as a conservative U.S. representative. Voter turnout patterns in Maricopa, where early and mail voting play a major role, remain central to final margins ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
交易量
$2,307結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 83% implied probability of winning Maricopa County in the 2026 Arizona governor race, reflecting her status as Democratic incumbent with established support in the state's largest population center. Andy Biggs, the Republican nominee who secured his party's nod in the July primary with 73.6% of the vote, sits at 14%. Recent polling aggregates show Hobbs ahead statewide by roughly eight points, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Lean Democratic. Key drivers include Hobbs' advertising edge, her selection of independent former Mesa mayor John Giles as running mate to appeal to centrists, and Biggs' record as a conservative U.S. representative. Voter turnout patterns in Maricopa, where early and mail voting play a major role, remain central to final margins ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
交易量
$2,307結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETKatie Hobbs holds an 83% implied probability of winning Maricopa County in the 2026 Arizona governor race, reflecting her status as Democratic incumbent with established support in the state's largest population center. Andy Biggs, the Republican nominee who secured his party's nod in the July primary with 73.6% of the vote, sits at 14%. Recent polling aggregates show Hobbs ahead statewide by roughly eight points, consistent with forecasters rating the contest Lean Democratic. Key drivers include Hobbs' advertising edge, her selection of independent former Mesa mayor John Giles as running mate to appeal to centrists, and Biggs' record as a conservative U.S. representative. Voter turnout patterns in Maricopa, where early and mail voting play a major role, remain central to final margins ahead of the November 3 election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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