**Latest forecast models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 21 likely ranging 23–25°C under mostly clear skies and light northwest or southeast winds, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 20–24°C.** High humidity (often 70–85%) limits radiative cooling, while the coastal location experiences moderating sea influences that can produce small variations in the exact minimum depending on the observing station or timing. Recent days have shown minimums near 23–25°C, above the long-term September average of roughly 21°C, reflecting a warmer-than-typical pattern. Model consensus remains close, with only modest differences in the precise low expected before morning observations finalize the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日特拉維夫的最低溫度?
28°C或更高 100%
24°C 92%
18°C或以下 90%
21°C 51%
18°C或以下
90%
19°C
49%
20°C
48%
21°C
51%
22°C
48%
23°C
44%
24°C
92%
25°C
18%
26°C
17%
27°C
4%
28°C或更高
100%
28°C或更高 100%
24°C 92%
18°C或以下 90%
21°C 51%
18°C或以下
90%
19°C
49%
20°C
48%
21°C
51%
22°C
48%
23°C
44%
24°C
92%
25°C
18%
26°C
17%
27°C
4%
28°C或更高
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Latest forecast models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 21 likely ranging 23–25°C under mostly clear skies and light northwest or southeast winds, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 20–24°C.** High humidity (often 70–85%) limits radiative cooling, while the coastal location experiences moderating sea influences that can produce small variations in the exact minimum depending on the observing station or timing. Recent days have shown minimums near 23–25°C, above the long-term September average of roughly 21°C, reflecting a warmer-than-typical pattern. Model consensus remains close, with only modest differences in the precise low expected before morning observations finalize the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions