Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22 near 24–25°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light southerly to westerly winds and increasing overnight humidity. This setup limits radiative cooling compared to clearer, drier nights, keeping values above the long-term September average low of roughly 22°C. Slight model spread in cloud cover and wind timing creates uncertainty around exact thresholds, supporting tight market pricing across the 24°C, 28°C-or-higher, and 18°C-or-below contracts. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine the final reading used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日特拉維夫的最低溫度?
18°C或以下 84%
28°C或更高 84%
24°C 49%
25°C 40%
18°C或以下
84%
19°C
13%
20°C
17%
21°C
39%
22°C
9%
23°C
39%
24°C
49%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
17%
28°C或更高
84%
18°C或以下 84%
28°C或更高 84%
24°C 49%
25°C 40%
18°C或以下
84%
19°C
13%
20°C
17%
21°C
39%
22°C
9%
23°C
39%
24°C
49%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
17%
28°C或更高
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22 near 24–25°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light southerly to westerly winds and increasing overnight humidity. This setup limits radiative cooling compared to clearer, drier nights, keeping values above the long-term September average low of roughly 22°C. Slight model spread in cloud cover and wind timing creates uncertainty around exact thresholds, supporting tight market pricing across the 24°C, 28°C-or-higher, and 18°C-or-below contracts. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine the final reading used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions