Traders have converged on 19°C as the implied lowest temperature in Seoul/Incheon on September 21, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast consensus from regional models. Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure have supported overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 19°C, consistent with typical late-September climatology for the area. Official guidance shows daytime highs reaching 28–29°C under partly cloudy conditions with negligible precipitation risk. The narrow uncertainty band around this outcome stems from tight model agreement on boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift would require unforecasted increases in cloud cover or a rapid wind direction change that limits cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of such deviations before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月21日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
19°C 99%
15°C 8.7%
17°C 6.6%
18°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
19°C 99%
15°C 8.7%
17°C 6.6%
18°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
14°C或以下
$36 交易量
1%
15°C
$157 交易量
9%
16°C
$160 交易量
1%
17°C
$441 交易量
7%
18°C
$1,487 交易量
2%
19°C
$2,521 交易量
99%
20°C
$2,726 交易量
<1%
21°C
$174 交易量
<1%
22°C
$81 交易量
<1%
23°C
$92 交易量
<1%
24°C或以上
$31 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 19°C as the implied lowest temperature in Seoul/Incheon on September 21, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast consensus from regional models. Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure have supported overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 19°C, consistent with typical late-September climatology for the area. Official guidance shows daytime highs reaching 28–29°C under partly cloudy conditions with negligible precipitation risk. The narrow uncertainty band around this outcome stems from tight model agreement on boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift would require unforecasted increases in cloud cover or a rapid wind direction change that limits cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$7,907結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 19°C as the implied lowest temperature in Seoul/Incheon on September 21, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast consensus from regional models. Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure have supported overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 19°C, consistent with typical late-September climatology for the area. Official guidance shows daytime highs reaching 28–29°C under partly cloudy conditions with negligible precipitation risk. The narrow uncertainty band around this outcome stems from tight model agreement on boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift would require unforecasted increases in cloud cover or a rapid wind direction change that limits cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,907結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTraders have converged on 19°C as the implied lowest temperature in Seoul/Incheon on September 21, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast consensus from regional models. Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure have supported overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 19°C, consistent with typical late-September climatology for the area. Official guidance shows daytime highs reaching 28–29°C under partly cloudy conditions with negligible precipitation risk. The narrow uncertainty band around this outcome stems from tight model agreement on boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift would require unforecasted increases in cloud cover or a rapid wind direction change that limits cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of such deviations before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions