**Trader sentiment strongly favors the 70-71°F bucket (75% implied probability) because preliminary climatological data from the National Weather Service station at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 71°F on September 20, 2026.** This aligns with multiple NWS forecasts issued that day, which projected overnight lows near 70–72°F under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and dew points in the upper 60s that limited further radiative cooling. The 68–69°F outcome sits at 47.5% as traders weigh minor station variations or microclimate effects, while colder buckets (66–67°F and below) remain under 10% given the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as increased cloud cover, precipitation, or a frontal passage. Warmer ranges above 72°F carry negligible probability, consistent with observed conditions and the typical September diurnal range in Atlanta, where recent warmth has kept minimums elevated relative to the 1991–2020 average low of ~64°F. Official data releases and model verification in the coming days will drive final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日亞特蘭大最低溫?
70-71°F 99%
68-69°F 24%
66-67°F 19%
65°F或以下 18%
$821 交易量
$821 交易量
65°F或以下
18%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74-75度
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 99%
68-69°F 24%
66-67°F 19%
65°F或以下 18%
$821 交易量
$821 交易量
65°F或以下
18%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74-75度
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment strongly favors the 70-71°F bucket (75% implied probability) because preliminary climatological data from the National Weather Service station at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 71°F on September 20, 2026.** This aligns with multiple NWS forecasts issued that day, which projected overnight lows near 70–72°F under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and dew points in the upper 60s that limited further radiative cooling. The 68–69°F outcome sits at 47.5% as traders weigh minor station variations or microclimate effects, while colder buckets (66–67°F and below) remain under 10% given the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as increased cloud cover, precipitation, or a frontal passage. Warmer ranges above 72°F carry negligible probability, consistent with observed conditions and the typical September diurnal range in Atlanta, where recent warmth has kept minimums elevated relative to the 1991–2020 average low of ~64°F. Official data releases and model verification in the coming days will drive final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions