Recent forecasts from MetService, WeatherBug, and other sources indicate a southerly change and associated front will bring cooler conditions and rain to Wellington on September 22, limiting daytime highs amid spring variability. Official guidance points to maximum temperatures of 12–14 °C under southerly winds, consistent with historical September averages near 12.5 °C and recent mid-month observations of 13–15 °C. This atmospheric shift underpins the market’s emphasis on 14 °C as the leading outcome, with 15 °C remaining viable only if the front weakens or timing shifts. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, as small changes in wind direction or cloud cover can alter readings by 1–2 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月22日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
14°C 49%
15°C 35%
13°C 12%
16°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
49%
15°C
35%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
14°C 49%
15°C 35%
13°C 12%
16°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
10°C
$31 交易量
<1%
11°C
$5 交易量
2%
12°C
$136 交易量
2%
13°C
$862 交易量
12%
14°C
$1,344 交易量
49%
15°C
$926 交易量
35%
16°C
$479 交易量
3%
17°C
$0 交易量
1%
18°C
$268 交易量
<1%
19°C或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, WeatherBug, and other sources indicate a southerly change and associated front will bring cooler conditions and rain to Wellington on September 22, limiting daytime highs amid spring variability. Official guidance points to maximum temperatures of 12–14 °C under southerly winds, consistent with historical September averages near 12.5 °C and recent mid-month observations of 13–15 °C. This atmospheric shift underpins the market’s emphasis on 14 °C as the leading outcome, with 15 °C remaining viable only if the front weakens or timing shifts. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, as small changes in wind direction or cloud cover can alter readings by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,163結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, WeatherBug, and other sources indicate a southerly change and associated front will bring cooler conditions and rain to Wellington on September 22, limiting daytime highs amid spring variability. Official guidance points to maximum temperatures of 12–14 °C under southerly winds, consistent with historical September averages near 12.5 °C and recent mid-month observations of 13–15 °C. This atmospheric shift underpins the market’s emphasis on 14 °C as the leading outcome, with 15 °C remaining viable only if the front weakens or timing shifts. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, as small changes in wind direction or cloud cover can alter readings by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,163結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from MetService, WeatherBug, and other sources indicate a southerly change and associated front will bring cooler conditions and rain to Wellington on September 22, limiting daytime highs amid spring variability. Official guidance points to maximum temperatures of 12–14 °C under southerly winds, consistent with historical September averages near 12.5 °C and recent mid-month observations of 13–15 °C. This atmospheric shift underpins the market’s emphasis on 14 °C as the leading outcome, with 15 °C remaining viable only if the front weakens or timing shifts. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, as small changes in wind direction or cloud cover can alter readings by 1–2 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions