Latest numerical weather models from sources including GFS and regional forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that enhance solar heating while limiting cloud formation. Madrid’s elevation around 650 m and inland position produce a pronounced diurnal range, with low humidity further aiding afternoon warming. The narrow 53.5%–46.5% split between 32°C and 33°C reflects minor ensemble differences in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly stronger thermal low or delayed cooling could tip the balance. Real-time observations from AEMET stations will resolve the outcome as temperatures crest in the late afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月21日馬德裏氣溫最高？
32°C 55%
33°C 46%
31°C 1.3%
34°C <1%
$32,715 交易量
$32,715 交易量
2026-09-21
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
55%
33°C
46%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 55%
33°C 46%
31°C 1.3%
34°C <1%
$32,715 交易量
$32,715 交易量
2026-09-21
26°C或以下
$1,225 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,192 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,030 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,294 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,767 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,321 交易量
1%
32°C
$8,808 交易量
55%
33°C
$7,792 交易量
46%
34°C
$3,380 交易量
1%
35°C
$741 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from sources including GFS and regional forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that enhance solar heating while limiting cloud formation. Madrid’s elevation around 650 m and inland position produce a pronounced diurnal range, with low humidity further aiding afternoon warming. The narrow 53.5%–46.5% split between 32°C and 33°C reflects minor ensemble differences in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly stronger thermal low or delayed cooling could tip the balance. Real-time observations from AEMET stations will resolve the outcome as temperatures crest in the late afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$32,715結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from sources including GFS and regional forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that enhance solar heating while limiting cloud formation. Madrid’s elevation around 650 m and inland position produce a pronounced diurnal range, with low humidity further aiding afternoon warming. The narrow 53.5%–46.5% split between 32°C and 33°C reflects minor ensemble differences in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly stronger thermal low or delayed cooling could tip the balance. Real-time observations from AEMET stations will resolve the outcome as temperatures crest in the late afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,715結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather models from sources including GFS and regional forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that enhance solar heating while limiting cloud formation. Madrid’s elevation around 650 m and inland position produce a pronounced diurnal range, with low humidity further aiding afternoon warming. The narrow 53.5%–46.5% split between 32°C and 33°C reflects minor ensemble differences in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly stronger thermal low or delayed cooling could tip the balance. Real-time observations from AEMET stations will resolve the outcome as temperatures crest in the late afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions