Official forecasts from meteorological agencies and ensemble model consensus indicate a daily maximum of 36°C in Guangzhou on September 20 under hazy to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal convective activity. Real-time observations through the afternoon align closely with this peak, consistent with the recent climatological trend of elevated September temperatures in the region and the 2024 record of 36.1°C for the date. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability reflects this strong data alignment from authoritative sources. A realistic shift to 37°C would require either localized heating under clearer skies or an official station reading exceeding model guidance, while increased thunderstorm development could cap the high below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日廣州最高溫度？
9月20日廣州最高溫度？
36°C 99.8%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$145,368 交易量
$145,368 交易量
2026-09-20
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
是
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或以上
否
36°C 99.8%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$145,368 交易量
$145,368 交易量
2026-09-20
29°C或以下
$482 交易量
否
30°C
$1,734 交易量
否
31°C
$1,638 交易量
否
32°C
$1,146 交易量
否
33°C
$7,537 交易量
否
34°C
$36,641 交易量
否
35°C
$36,934 交易量
否
36°C
$27,116 交易量
是
37°C
$18,912 交易量
否
38°C
$8,483 交易量
否
39°C或以上
$4,745 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies and ensemble model consensus indicate a daily maximum of 36°C in Guangzhou on September 20 under hazy to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal convective activity. Real-time observations through the afternoon align closely with this peak, consistent with the recent climatological trend of elevated September temperatures in the region and the 2024 record of 36.1°C for the date. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability reflects this strong data alignment from authoritative sources. A realistic shift to 37°C would require either localized heating under clearer skies or an official station reading exceeding model guidance, while increased thunderstorm development could cap the high below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$145,368結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies and ensemble model consensus indicate a daily maximum of 36°C in Guangzhou on September 20 under hazy to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal convective activity. Real-time observations through the afternoon align closely with this peak, consistent with the recent climatological trend of elevated September temperatures in the region and the 2024 record of 36.1°C for the date. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability reflects this strong data alignment from authoritative sources. A realistic shift to 37°C would require either localized heating under clearer skies or an official station reading exceeding model guidance, while increased thunderstorm development could cap the high below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$145,368結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from meteorological agencies and ensemble model consensus indicate a daily maximum of 36°C in Guangzhou on September 20 under hazy to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal convective activity. Real-time observations through the afternoon align closely with this peak, consistent with the recent climatological trend of elevated September temperatures in the region and the 2024 record of 36.1°C for the date. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability reflects this strong data alignment from authoritative sources. A realistic shift to 37°C would require either localized heating under clearer skies or an official station reading exceeding model guidance, while increased thunderstorm development could cap the high below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions