Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a daytime maximum near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on September 22 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Elevated humidity and cloud cover from lingering monsoon moisture are expected to moderate peak heating compared with recent days, when highs reached 35–36°C. These conditions create tight differentiation between the leading outcomes, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 34°C and 35°C. Official readings from the China Meteorological Administration station will determine resolution, with final data typically available by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日廣州最高溫度?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 15%
33°C 14%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
15%
37°C或更高
1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 15%
33°C 14%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
15%
37°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a daytime maximum near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on September 22 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Elevated humidity and cloud cover from lingering monsoon moisture are expected to moderate peak heating compared with recent days, when highs reached 35–36°C. These conditions create tight differentiation between the leading outcomes, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 34°C and 35°C. Official readings from the China Meteorological Administration station will determine resolution, with final data typically available by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions