**Trader consensus has converged on a 12°C high for Buenos Aires on September 12, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations recorded a maximum of exactly 12°C.** Cold southerly winds and persistent cloud cover kept daytime readings suppressed, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a peak near or below 12–14°C and actual measurements confirming the lower end of that range. This aligns with the seasonal transition into spring, where September averages hover around 14–17°C but polar air intrusions can produce sharp drops. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum from the primary Buenos Aires weather station, and with the date now passed, no realistic scenario remains that would shift the outcome away from 12°C absent a major revision to verified data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月12日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
12°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$65,793 交易量
$65,793 交易量
2026-09-12
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
12°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$65,793 交易量
$65,793 交易量
2026-09-12
8°C或以下
$340 交易量
否
9°C
$656 交易量
否
10°C
$3,466 交易量
否
11°C
$22,372 交易量
否
12°C
$15,184 交易量
是
13°C
$11,321 交易量
否
14°C
$5,775 交易量
否
15°C
$2,447 交易量
否
16°C
$1,060 交易量
否
17°C
$1,456 交易量
否
18°C或更高
$1,715 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 12°C high for Buenos Aires on September 12, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations recorded a maximum of exactly 12°C.**
Cold southerly winds and persistent cloud cover kept daytime readings suppressed, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a peak near or below 12–14°C and actual measurements confirming the lower end of that range. This aligns with the seasonal transition into spring, where September averages hover around 14–17°C but polar air intrusions can produce sharp drops. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum from the primary Buenos Aires weather station, and with the date now passed, no realistic scenario remains that would shift the outcome away from 12°C absent a major revision to verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$65,793結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 12°C high for Buenos Aires on September 12, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations recorded a maximum of exactly 12°C.**
Cold southerly winds and persistent cloud cover kept daytime readings suppressed, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a peak near or below 12–14°C and actual measurements confirming the lower end of that range. This aligns with the seasonal transition into spring, where September averages hover around 14–17°C but polar air intrusions can produce sharp drops. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum from the primary Buenos Aires weather station, and with the date now passed, no realistic scenario remains that would shift the outcome away from 12°C absent a major revision to verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$65,793結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged on a 12°C high for Buenos Aires on September 12, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations recorded a maximum of exactly 12°C.** Cold southerly winds and persistent cloud cover kept daytime readings suppressed, with forecasts from multiple models converging on a peak near or below 12–14°C and actual measurements confirming the lower end of that range. This aligns with the seasonal transition into spring, where September averages hover around 14–17°C but polar air intrusions can produce sharp drops. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum from the primary Buenos Aires weather station, and with the date now passed, no realistic scenario remains that would shift the outcome away from 12°C absent a major revision to verified data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions