Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple September polls, including AtlasIntel and Veritá, place him at 41–47% in stimulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25–36% and Ricardo Marques (PL) in single digits, with remaining candidates below 2%. Recent campaign activity has focused on Mitidieri’s record of expanded elective surgeries and infrastructure initiatives, while opposition candidates emphasize change. The market’s 77% consensus on Fábio aligns with these consistent polling trends and his structural advantages as incumbent, though a runoff on October 25 remains possible if no candidate secures an outright majority.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFábio 77%
Valmir de Francisquinho 20%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
$28,295 KL.
$28,295 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Fábio
77%
Valmir de Francisquinho
20%
Emanuel Cacho
<1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
<1%
Dr. Helton
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
Fábio 77%
Valmir de Francisquinho 20%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
$28,295 KL.
$28,295 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Fábio
$18,840 KL.
77%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$6,448 KL.
20%
Emanuel Cacho
$634 KL.
<1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$1,029 KL.
<1%
Dr. Helton
$900 KL.
<1%
Ricardo Marques
$443 KL.
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple September polls, including AtlasIntel and Veritá, place him at 41–47% in stimulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25–36% and Ricardo Marques (PL) in single digits, with remaining candidates below 2%. Recent campaign activity has focused on Mitidieri’s record of expanded elective surgeries and infrastructure initiatives, while opposition candidates emphasize change. The market’s 77% consensus on Fábio aligns with these consistent polling trends and his structural advantages as incumbent, though a runoff on October 25 remains possible if no candidate secures an outright majority.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,295Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple September polls, including AtlasIntel and Veritá, place him at 41–47% in stimulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25–36% and Ricardo Marques (PL) in single digits, with remaining candidates below 2%. Recent campaign activity has focused on Mitidieri’s record of expanded elective surgeries and infrastructure initiatives, while opposition candidates emphasize change. The market’s 77% consensus on Fábio aligns with these consistent polling trends and his structural advantages as incumbent, though a runoff on October 25 remains possible if no candidate secures an outright majority.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$28,295Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, holds a commanding position in the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple September polls, including AtlasIntel and Veritá, place him at 41–47% in stimulated first-round scenarios, well ahead of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 25–36% and Ricardo Marques (PL) in single digits, with remaining candidates below 2%. Recent campaign activity has focused on Mitidieri’s record of expanded elective surgeries and infrastructure initiatives, while opposition candidates emphasize change. The market’s 77% consensus on Fábio aligns with these consistent polling trends and his structural advantages as incumbent, though a runoff on October 25 remains possible if no candidate secures an outright majority.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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