Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRenato Casagrande 96.4%
Leonardo Monjardim <1%
Callegari <1%
Rodney Miranda <1%
$12,806 KL.
$12,806 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
96%
Leonardo Monjardim
1%
Callegari
1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Maguinha Malta
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli
<1%
Fabiano Contarato
<1%
Marcos do Val
<1%
Rose de Freitas
<1%
Evair de Melo
<1%
Renato Casagrande 96.4%
Leonardo Monjardim <1%
Callegari <1%
Rodney Miranda <1%
$12,806 KL.
$12,806 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
$5,875 KL.
96%
Leonardo Monjardim
$824 KL.
1%
Callegari
$799 KL.
1%
Rodney Miranda
$706 KL.
<1%
Maguinha Malta
$724 KL.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$428 KL.
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli
$731 KL.
<1%
Fabiano Contarato
$732 KL.
<1%
Marcos do Val
$720 KL.
<1%
Rose de Freitas
$587 KL.
<1%
Evair de Melo
$679 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,806Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$12,806Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande leads Espírito Santo’s Senate race with a commanding position in recent polling, reflecting his high statewide name recognition after serving as governor until resigning in April 2026 to seek the seat. September surveys show him at 28% consolidated intentions for the two available seats, well ahead of Sergio Meneguelli at 12% and a group of candidates clustered around 9% or lower, including Fabiano Contarato, Evair de Melo, Maguinha Malta, and Rose de Freitas. His broad coalition and record in state executive roles underpin trader consensus on a first-place finish ahead of the October 4 election. A late surge by rivals or major campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained frontrunner status.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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