Recent Quaest polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading Senate intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, with the top three in technical tie within the margin of error and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 7%. High undecided voters (27%) and blank/null responses (18%) keep the race fluid ahead of the October 4 election, where voters select two senators. This dynamic sustains close probabilities for second place between Costa and Mendonça Filho, as Arraes appears positioned for first while alliances tied to the tight gubernatorial contest between Raquel Lyra and João Campos influence vote splitting. Minor shifts in recent surveys have not yet created separation among frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHumberto Costa 43%
Mendonça Filho 42%
Marília Arraes 13.3%
Túlio Gadêlha 2.8%
$31,094 KL.
$31,094 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
43%
Mendonça Filho
42%
Marília Arraes
13%
Túlio Gadêlha
3%
Eduardo da Fonte
2%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Humberto Costa 43%
Mendonça Filho 42%
Marília Arraes 13.3%
Túlio Gadêlha 2.8%
$31,094 KL.
$31,094 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
$10,112 KL.
43%
Mendonça Filho
$8,246 KL.
42%
Marília Arraes
$5,337 KL.
13%
Túlio Gadêlha
$1,430 KL.
3%
Eduardo da Fonte
$1,511 KL.
2%
Samuel Timoteo
$834 KL.
<1%
Mariano Macedo
$806 KL.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$773 KL.
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$494 KL.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$490 KL.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$629 KL.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading Senate intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, with the top three in technical tie within the margin of error and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 7%. High undecided voters (27%) and blank/null responses (18%) keep the race fluid ahead of the October 4 election, where voters select two senators. This dynamic sustains close probabilities for second place between Costa and Mendonça Filho, as Arraes appears positioned for first while alliances tied to the tight gubernatorial contest between Raquel Lyra and João Campos influence vote splitting. Minor shifts in recent surveys have not yet created separation among frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,094Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading Senate intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, with the top three in technical tie within the margin of error and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 7%. High undecided voters (27%) and blank/null responses (18%) keep the race fluid ahead of the October 4 election, where voters select two senators. This dynamic sustains close probabilities for second place between Costa and Mendonça Filho, as Arraes appears positioned for first while alliances tied to the tight gubernatorial contest between Raquel Lyra and João Campos influence vote splitting. Minor shifts in recent surveys have not yet created separation among frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$31,094Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling from early September shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading Senate intentions in Pernambuco at 17%, followed by incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) at 14% and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, with the top three in technical tie within the margin of error and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 7%. High undecided voters (27%) and blank/null responses (18%) keep the race fluid ahead of the October 4 election, where voters select two senators. This dynamic sustains close probabilities for second place between Costa and Mendonça Filho, as Arraes appears positioned for first while alliances tied to the tight gubernatorial contest between Raquel Lyra and João Campos influence vote splitting. Minor shifts in recent surveys have not yet created separation among frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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