Ted Lieu’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic CA-36 district, which encompasses parts of Los Angeles County including areas around UCLA, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability. Lieu captured over 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary against multiple challengers, while Houston Brignano advanced with roughly 15% as the leading Republican. Lieu’s established fundraising edge, committee roles, and alignment with district voter preferences have sustained his position, reinforced by a recent national generic ballot poll showing an 11-point Democratic advantage. Brignano’s limited campaign resources further constrain competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
$35,246 KL.
$35,246 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Ted Lieu (D)
95%
Houston Brignano (R)
5%
$35,246 KL.
$35,246 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Ted Lieu (D)
$6,302 KL.
95%
Houston Brignano (R)
$28,944 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ted Lieu’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic CA-36 district, which encompasses parts of Los Angeles County including areas around UCLA, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability. Lieu captured over 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary against multiple challengers, while Houston Brignano advanced with roughly 15% as the leading Republican. Lieu’s established fundraising edge, committee roles, and alignment with district voter preferences have sustained his position, reinforced by a recent national generic ballot poll showing an 11-point Democratic advantage. Brignano’s limited campaign resources further constrain competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35,246Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ted Lieu’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic CA-36 district, which encompasses parts of Los Angeles County including areas around UCLA, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability. Lieu captured over 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary against multiple challengers, while Houston Brignano advanced with roughly 15% as the leading Republican. Lieu’s established fundraising edge, committee roles, and alignment with district voter preferences have sustained his position, reinforced by a recent national generic ballot poll showing an 11-point Democratic advantage. Brignano’s limited campaign resources further constrain competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$35,246Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Ted Lieu’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic CA-36 district, which encompasses parts of Los Angeles County including areas around UCLA, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability. Lieu captured over 60% in the June 2026 top-two primary against multiple challengers, while Houston Brignano advanced with roughly 15% as the leading Republican. Lieu’s established fundraising edge, committee roles, and alignment with district voter preferences have sustained his position, reinforced by a recent national generic ballot poll showing an 11-point Democratic advantage. Brignano’s limited campaign resources further constrain competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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