California’s 37th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened the seat’s Democratic tilt. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, eliminating all Republican contenders and locking in a November general election between two Democrats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader pricing on the party outcome reflects this structural reality. Only an unexpected late development such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented national realignment could reopen meaningful Republican prospects before the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-37 House Election Winner
CA-37 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,044 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$1,356 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 37th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened the seat’s Democratic tilt. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, eliminating all Republican contenders and locking in a November general election between two Democrats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader pricing on the party outcome reflects this structural reality. Only an unexpected late development such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented national realignment could reopen meaningful Republican prospects before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,400Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 37th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened the seat’s Democratic tilt. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, eliminating all Republican contenders and locking in a November general election between two Democrats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader pricing on the party outcome reflects this structural reality. Only an unexpected late development such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented national realignment could reopen meaningful Republican prospects before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,400Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 37th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened the seat’s Democratic tilt. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota, eliminating all Republican contenders and locking in a November general election between two Democrats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader pricing on the party outcome reflects this structural reality. Only an unexpected late development such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented national realignment could reopen meaningful Republican prospects before the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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