Recent polling averages place Yashar, the centrist list led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 22-23 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, ahead of or tied with Likud. This positioning stems from sustained voter movement away from Likud amid security policy debates and from Naftali Bennett’s Together alliance, with Yashar benefiting from surplus-vote agreements with The Democrats and perceptions of Eisenkot as a unifying opposition figure. The market’s emphasis on 24-25 seats reflects these upward trends and potential late consolidation of centrist and moderate-right support, while fragmentation among smaller lists, turnout among swing voters, and bloc negotiations remain key variables that could shift final results within the current 20-27 range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено24-25 36%
22-23 24%
26-27 16%
20-21 10%
<20
6%
20-21
10%
22-23
25%
24-25
39%
26-27
16%
28-29
5%
30+
10%
24-25 36%
22-23 24%
26-27 16%
20-21 10%
<20
6%
20-21
10%
22-23
25%
24-25
39%
26-27
16%
28-29
5%
30+
10%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Yashar, the centrist list led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 22-23 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, ahead of or tied with Likud. This positioning stems from sustained voter movement away from Likud amid security policy debates and from Naftali Bennett’s Together alliance, with Yashar benefiting from surplus-vote agreements with The Democrats and perceptions of Eisenkot as a unifying opposition figure. The market’s emphasis on 24-25 seats reflects these upward trends and potential late consolidation of centrist and moderate-right support, while fragmentation among smaller lists, turnout among swing voters, and bloc negotiations remain key variables that could shift final results within the current 20-27 range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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