Recent model consensus and early-morning observations show stable high pressure with moderate northeasterly flow across the Bosphorus region, limiting daytime heating and keeping peak readings near the 25°C threshold at official stations. Clear skies and light winds have produced gradual warming from overnight lows around 20–21°C, consistent with late-summer climatology rather than anomalous heat. Updated GFS runs and local monitoring indicate the daily maximum is unlikely to reach 27°C or higher, aligning trader capital with the 25°C outcome at 82% implied probability while leaving modest room for a 26°C reading if afternoon insolation strengthens.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?
25°C 81%
26°C 20%
27°C 2%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
81%
26°C
20%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 81%
26°C 20%
27°C 2%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
22°C or below
$605 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$490 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,008 Обс.
1%
25°C
$3,076 Обс.
81%
26°C
$1,396 Обс.
20%
27°C
$624 Обс.
2%
28°C
$283 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$267 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$596 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$691 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$721 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and early-morning observations show stable high pressure with moderate northeasterly flow across the Bosphorus region, limiting daytime heating and keeping peak readings near the 25°C threshold at official stations. Clear skies and light winds have produced gradual warming from overnight lows around 20–21°C, consistent with late-summer climatology rather than anomalous heat. Updated GFS runs and local monitoring indicate the daily maximum is unlikely to reach 27°C or higher, aligning trader capital with the 25°C outcome at 82% implied probability while leaving modest room for a 26°C reading if afternoon insolation strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,756Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and early-morning observations show stable high pressure with moderate northeasterly flow across the Bosphorus region, limiting daytime heating and keeping peak readings near the 25°C threshold at official stations. Clear skies and light winds have produced gradual warming from overnight lows around 20–21°C, consistent with late-summer climatology rather than anomalous heat. Updated GFS runs and local monitoring indicate the daily maximum is unlikely to reach 27°C or higher, aligning trader capital with the 25°C outcome at 82% implied probability while leaving modest room for a 26°C reading if afternoon insolation strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,756Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and early-morning observations show stable high pressure with moderate northeasterly flow across the Bosphorus region, limiting daytime heating and keeping peak readings near the 25°C threshold at official stations. Clear skies and light winds have produced gradual warming from overnight lows around 20–21°C, consistent with late-summer climatology rather than anomalous heat. Updated GFS runs and local monitoring indicate the daily maximum is unlikely to reach 27°C or higher, aligning trader capital with the 25°C outcome at 82% implied probability while leaving modest room for a 26°C reading if afternoon insolation strengthens.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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