Recent model consensus from multiple sources indicates a maximum temperature near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 11 under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that maintains clear skies and minimal cloud cover. Low precipitation probabilities and moderate winds support efficient daytime heating, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs commonly reach the upper 20s. Trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes reflects caution around measurement site specifics and typical model spread, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C or above incorporate limited upside risk if radiative heating exceeds expectations. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
25°C 63%
26°C 33%
24°C 5%
27°C 2.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
63%
26°C
33%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 63%
26°C 33%
24°C 5%
27°C 2.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$416 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$147 Обс.
1%
23°C
$94 Обс.
2%
24°C
$236 Обс.
5%
25°C
$806 Обс.
63%
26°C
$246 Обс.
33%
27°C
$120 Обс.
2%
28°C
$82 Обс.
2%
29°C
$133 Обс.
2%
30°C
$108 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$68 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from multiple sources indicates a maximum temperature near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 11 under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that maintains clear skies and minimal cloud cover. Low precipitation probabilities and moderate winds support efficient daytime heating, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs commonly reach the upper 20s. Trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes reflects caution around measurement site specifics and typical model spread, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C or above incorporate limited upside risk if radiative heating exceeds expectations. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,458Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from multiple sources indicates a maximum temperature near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 11 under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that maintains clear skies and minimal cloud cover. Low precipitation probabilities and moderate winds support efficient daytime heating, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs commonly reach the upper 20s. Trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes reflects caution around measurement site specifics and typical model spread, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C or above incorporate limited upside risk if radiative heating exceeds expectations. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,458Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from multiple sources indicates a maximum temperature near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 11 under persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that maintains clear skies and minimal cloud cover. Low precipitation probabilities and moderate winds support efficient daytime heating, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs commonly reach the upper 20s. Trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes reflects caution around measurement site specifics and typical model spread, while the small probabilities assigned to 27°C or above incorporate limited upside risk if radiative heating exceeds expectations. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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